Compal Electronics (Taiwan) Performance

2324 Stock  TWD 33.35  0.25  0.76%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Compal Electronics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Compal Electronics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Compal Electronics has a negative expected return of -0.0395%. Please make sure to confirm Compal Electronics' coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Compal Electronics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Compal Electronics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Compal Electronics is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow89.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-11.1 B
  

Compal Electronics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,450  in Compal Electronics on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (115.00) from holding Compal Electronics or give up 3.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Compal Electronics is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.7057% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Compal, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compal Electronics is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Compal Electronics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Compal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.35 90 days 33.35 
about 8.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compal Electronics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.57 (This Compal Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Compal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compal Electronics has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Compal Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compal Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compal Electronics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Compal Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compal Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compal Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.6433.3535.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5932.3034.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.7734.4836.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.9131.0833.24
Details

Compal Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compal Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compal Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compal Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compal Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Compal Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compal Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compal Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compal Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compal Electronics has accumulated NT$9.22 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Compal Electronics has accumulated about 69.89 B in cash with (23.83 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.04.

Compal Electronics Fundamentals Growth

Compal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Compal Electronics, and Compal Electronics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Compal Stock performance.

About Compal Electronics Performance

Evaluating Compal Electronics' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Compal Electronics has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Compal Electronics has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Compal Electronics, Inc. manufacturers and sells notebook PCs, LCD products, smart devices, and data center equipment worldwide. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan. COMPAL ELECTRONICS operates under Computer Systems classification in Taiwan and is traded on Taiwan Stock Exchange.

Things to note about Compal Electronics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compal Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Compal Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compal Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Compal Electronics has accumulated NT$9.22 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Compal Electronics has accumulated about 69.89 B in cash with (23.83 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.04.
Evaluating Compal Electronics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Compal Electronics' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Compal Electronics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Compal Electronics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Compal Electronics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Compal Electronics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Compal Electronics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Compal Electronics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Compal Electronics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Compal Electronics' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Compal Electronics' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Compal Stock Analysis

When running Compal Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Compal Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compal Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Compal Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compal Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compal Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compal Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.