Origin Agritech (Germany) Performance

39O1 Stock  EUR 0.99  0.03  2.94%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.6, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Origin Agritech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Origin Agritech is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Origin Agritech has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to check Origin Agritech's standard deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and variance , to decide if Origin Agritech performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Origin Agritech has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:10
Last Split Date
2018-07-11
1
Is a relief rally coming for Origin Agritech Limited holders - Market Activity Recap Free Weekly Chart Analysis and Trade Guides - newser.com
11/12/2025
2
How Origin Agritech Limited stock performs in volatility spikes - Market Activity Report Consistent Profit Trading Strategies - newser.com
11/19/2025
3
Origin Agritech Hi3 gene editing wins 2025 Top 10 China ag science honor - Stock Titan
12/02/2025
4
How buybacks impact Origin Agritech Limited stock value - 2025 Macro Impact AI Driven Price Forecasts - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
5
Published on 2026-01-13 163327 - moha.gov.vn
01/13/2026
6
CEO Change Should you avoid Origin Agritech Limited stock right now - Quarterly Portfolio Review Stock Market Timing Techniques - baoquankhu1.vn
01/23/2026
7
Origin Agritech Raises 2.8 Million in Private Share Placement to Fund RD Expansion - TipRanks
02/02/2026
  

Origin Agritech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  124.00  in Origin Agritech on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (25.00) from holding Origin Agritech or give up 20.16% of portfolio value over 90 days. Origin Agritech is producing return of less than zero assuming 5.0826% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 45% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Origin Agritech, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Origin Agritech is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.64 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Origin Agritech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Origin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.99 90 days 0.99 
about 79.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Origin Agritech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.17 (This Origin Agritech probability density function shows the probability of Origin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Origin Agritech has a beta of -0.6. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Origin Agritech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Origin Agritech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Origin Agritech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Origin Agritech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Origin Agritech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Origin Agritech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.976.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.905.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.845.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.841.071.30
Details

Origin Agritech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Origin Agritech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Origin Agritech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Origin Agritech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Origin Agritech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.6
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Origin Agritech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Origin Agritech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Origin Agritech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Origin Agritech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Origin Agritech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Origin Agritech has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Origin Agritech Raises 2.8 Million in Private Share Placement to Fund RD Expansion - TipRanks

Origin Agritech Fundamentals Growth

Origin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Origin Agritech, and Origin Agritech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Origin Stock performance.

About Origin Agritech Performance

By analyzing Origin Agritech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Origin Agritech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Origin Agritech has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Origin Agritech has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Origin Agritech is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on F exchange.

Things to note about Origin Agritech performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Origin Agritech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Origin Agritech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Origin Agritech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Origin Agritech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Origin Agritech has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Origin Agritech Raises 2.8 Million in Private Share Placement to Fund RD Expansion - TipRanks
Evaluating Origin Agritech's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Origin Agritech's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Origin Agritech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Origin Agritech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Origin Agritech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Origin Agritech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Origin Agritech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Origin Agritech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Origin Agritech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Origin Agritech's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Origin Agritech's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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