Origin Agritech (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

39O1 Stock  EUR 2.34  0.06  2.63%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Origin Agritech is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Origin Agritech buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 39O1 positions.
  
Check out Origin Agritech Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Origin Stock please use our How to Invest in Origin Agritech guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Origin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Origin Agritech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Origin Agritech Buy or Sell Advice

The Origin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Origin Agritech. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Origin Agritech or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Origin Agritech's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Origin AgritechBuy Origin Agritech
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Origin Agritech has a Mean Deviation of 3.77, Semi Deviation of 3.51, Standard Deviation of 5.35, Variance of 28.64, Downside Variance of 14.45 and Semi Variance of 12.34
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Origin Agritech. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. Please employ Origin Agritech price to sales, market capitalization, net asset, as well as the relationship between the number of employees and total asset to make buy, hold, or sell decision on Origin Agritech.

Origin Agritech Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Origin Agritech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Origin Agritech Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Origin Agritech's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Origin Agritech's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Origin Agritech daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Origin Agritech price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Origin Agritech returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Origin Agritech.
Mean Return
0.30
Value At Risk
-5.38
Potential Upside
8.41
Standard Deviation
5.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Origin Agritech historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Origin Agritech Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Origin Agritech or Origin sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Origin Agritech's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Origin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
4.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Origin Agritech Volatility Alert

Origin Agritech shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Origin Agritech's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Origin Agritech's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Origin Agritech Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Origin Agritech's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Origin Agritech's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Origin Agritech and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Origin Agritech or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Origin Agritech's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Origin Agritech by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Origin Agritech to competition
FundamentalsOrigin AgritechPeer Average
Current Valuation78.28 M16.62 B
Price To Book4.72 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.11 X11.42 X
Number Of Employees1118.84 K
Market Capitalization42.71 M19.03 B
Total Asset135.96 M29.47 B
Net Asset135.96 M

Origin Agritech Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Origin Agritech Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Origin Agritech? Buying financial instruments such as Origin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Origin Agritech in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Farming Thematic Idea Now

Farming
Farming Theme
Companies producing farming products and providing services for farmers. The Farming theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Farming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Origin Stock

When determining whether Origin Agritech is a strong investment it is important to analyze Origin Agritech's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Origin Agritech's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Origin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Origin Agritech Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Origin Stock please use our How to Invest in Origin Agritech guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.