Traton SE (Sweden) Performance

8TRA Stock  SEK 383.00  0.40  0.10%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Traton SE holds a performance score of 18. The entity has a beta of 0.5, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Traton SE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Traton SE is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Traton SE's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Traton SE's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Traton SE are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Traton SE unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.4 B
  

Traton SE Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  30,300  in Traton SE on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,040  from holding Traton SE or generate 26.53% return on investment over 90 days. Traton SE is generating 0.4155% of daily returns and assumes 1.8053% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Traton, and 92% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Traton SE is expected to generate 2.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Traton SE Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Traton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 383.00 90 days 383.00 
about 1.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Traton SE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.28 (This Traton SE probability density function shows the probability of Traton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Traton SE has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Traton SE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Traton SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Traton SE has an alpha of 0.3096, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Traton SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Traton SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Traton SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
381.59383.40385.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
345.06429.81431.63
Details

Traton SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Traton SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Traton SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Traton SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Traton SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
22.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Traton SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Traton SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Traton SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Traton SE has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Traton SE has accumulated 12.18 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 90.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Traton SE has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Traton SE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Traton SE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Traton SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Traton to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Traton SE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 90.0% of Traton SE shares are owned by insiders or employees

Traton SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Traton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Traton SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Traton SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding500 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.8 B

Traton SE Fundamentals Growth

Traton Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Traton SE, and Traton SE fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Traton Stock performance.

About Traton SE Performance

Assessing Traton SE's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Traton SE's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Traton SE is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The company operates through Industrial Business and Financial Services segments. It also offers a range of financial solutions, including loan financing, lease contracts, and insurance solutions. TRATON SE is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange in Sweden.

Things to note about Traton SE performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Traton SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Traton SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Traton SE has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Traton SE has accumulated 12.18 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 90.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Traton SE has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Traton SE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Traton SE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Traton SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Traton to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Traton SE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 90.0% of Traton SE shares are owned by insiders or employees
Evaluating Traton SE's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Traton SE's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Traton SE's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Traton SE's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Traton SE's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Traton SE's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Traton SE's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Traton SE's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Traton SE's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Traton SE's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Traton SE's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Traton Stock Analysis

When running Traton SE's price analysis, check to measure Traton SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Traton SE is operating at the current time. Most of Traton SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Traton SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Traton SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Traton SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.