Automatic Data (Brazil) Performance

ADPR34 Stock  BRL 53.95  0.19  0.35%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0503, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Automatic Data are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Automatic Data is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Automatic Data Processing has a negative expected return of -0.0953%. Please make sure to confirm Automatic Data's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Automatic Data Processing performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Automatic Data Processing has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Automatic Data is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow13.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7 B
  

Automatic Data Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,730  in Automatic Data Processing on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (335.00) from holding Automatic Data Processing or give up 5.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. Automatic Data Processing is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.1656% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Automatic, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Automatic Data is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Automatic Data Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Automatic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 53.95 90 days 53.95 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Automatic Data to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Automatic Data Processing probability density function shows the probability of Automatic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Automatic Data Processing has a beta of -0.0503. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Automatic Data are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Automatic Data Processing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Automatic Data Processing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Automatic Data Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Automatic Data

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Automatic Data Processing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.7953.9555.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.0448.2059.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.2753.4254.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
53.7157.5461.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Automatic Data. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Automatic Data's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Automatic Data's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Automatic Data Processing.

Automatic Data Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Automatic Data is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Automatic Data's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Automatic Data Processing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Automatic Data within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Automatic Data Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Automatic Data for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Automatic Data Processing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automatic Data generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Automatic Data Fundamentals Growth

Automatic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Automatic Data, and Automatic Data fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Automatic Stock performance.

About Automatic Data Performance

By analyzing Automatic Data's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Automatic Data's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Automatic Data has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Automatic Data has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management solutions worldwide. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey. AUTOMATIC DTDRN operates under Staffing Employment Services classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 58000 people.

Things to note about Automatic Data Processing performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Automatic Data for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Automatic Data Processing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Automatic Data generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Automatic Data's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Automatic Data's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Automatic Data's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Automatic Data's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Automatic Data's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Automatic Data's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Automatic Data's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Automatic Data's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Automatic Data's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Automatic Data's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Automatic Data's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Automatic Data's price analysis, check to measure Automatic Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Automatic Data is operating at the current time. Most of Automatic Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Automatic Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Automatic Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Automatic Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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