Adt Inc Stock Performance
| ADT Stock | USD 7.77 0.23 2.88% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.04, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. ADT returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ADT is expected to follow. At this point, ADT Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0611%. Please make sure to confirm ADT's jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to decide if ADT Inc performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days ADT Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental indicators, ADT is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.94) | Five Day Return (3.00) | Year To Date Return (3.00) | Ten Year Return (37.29) | All Time Return (37.29) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0275 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.22 | Dividend Date 2026-01-08 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-12-11 |
1 | Should Value Investors Buy ADT Stock | 11/07/2025 |
2 | How ADT Inc. stock performs during Fed tightening cycles - 2025 Price Action Summary Detailed Earnings Play Alerts - newser.com | 11/19/2025 |
3 | Quantbot Technologies LP Has 1.01 Million Holdings in ADT Inc. ADT | 12/09/2025 |
4 | Head-To-Head Analysis ADT and G4S | 12/26/2025 |
5 | Bear of the Day ADT | 12/29/2025 |
| ADT dividend paid on 8th of January 2026 | 01/08/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by Tracey Griffin of 119 shares of ADT subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/12/2026 |
8 | Analysts Set ADT Inc. PT at 9.25 | 01/15/2026 |
9 | Assessing ADT Valuation After Recent Mixed Share Price Performance | 01/21/2026 |
10 | City of Hope Opens Clinical Trial to Protect Heart Health of Prostate Cancer Patients Receiving Hormone Therapy | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 129.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.3 B |
ADT Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 810.00 in ADT Inc on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (33.00) from holding ADT Inc or give up 4.07% of portfolio value over 90 days. ADT Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.1987% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than ADT, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ADT Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ADT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.77 | 90 days | 7.77 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This ADT Inc probability density function shows the probability of ADT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
ADT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ADT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ADT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADT Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
ADT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADT Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ADT Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ADT Inc has 7.81 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.1, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. ADT Inc has a current ratio of 0.5, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for ADT to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 98.0% of ADT shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 8th of January 2026 ADT paid $ 0.055 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: City of Hope Opens Clinical Trial to Protect Heart Health of Prostate Cancer Patients Receiving Hormone Therapy |
ADT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ADT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ADT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 963.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 204.1 M |
ADT Fundamentals Growth
ADT Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ADT, and ADT fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ADT Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0505 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 14.37 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 765.02 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 25.33 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.81 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.28 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.9 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 4.14 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 2.8 B | ||||
| Net Income | 501.05 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 96.21 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.12 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 7.81 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 3.10 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.50 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.88 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.73 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 6.56 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 16.05 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (3.32 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | (258.86 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 399 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 658 M | ||||
About ADT Performance
Assessing ADT's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into ADT's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the ADT is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 26.77 | 19.06 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | 0.12 |
Things to note about ADT Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ADT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ADT Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ADT Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ADT Inc has 7.81 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.1, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. ADT Inc has a current ratio of 0.5, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for ADT to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| Over 98.0% of ADT shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 8th of January 2026 ADT paid $ 0.055 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: City of Hope Opens Clinical Trial to Protect Heart Health of Prostate Cancer Patients Receiving Hormone Therapy |
- Analyzing ADT's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ADT's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ADT's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ADT's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ADT's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ADT's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ADT's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for ADT Stock Analysis
When running ADT's price analysis, check to measure ADT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADT is operating at the current time. Most of ADT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.