American Financial Group Preferred Stock Performance

AFGD Preferred Stock  USD 21.16  0.04  0.19%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0552, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, American Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding American Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, American Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0653%. Please make sure to confirm American Financial's coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if American Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days American Financial Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, American Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
  

American Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,203  in American Financial Group on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (87.00) from holding American Financial Group or give up 3.95% of portfolio value over 90 days. American Financial Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.6064% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 5% of preferred stocks are less volatile than American, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Financial is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.24 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

American Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.16 90 days 21.16 
about 54.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.12 (This American Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of American Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Financial has a beta of 0.0552. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Financial Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Financial Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   American Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5221.1621.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6321.2721.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.5321.1721.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.7021.0521.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Financial.

American Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

American Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

American Financial Fundamentals Growth

American Preferred Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Financial, and American Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Preferred Stock performance.

About American Financial Performance

By analyzing American Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into American Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if American Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. American Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. American Financial is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about American Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Preferred Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating American Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Financial's preferred stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Financial's preferred stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Financial's preferred stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Financial's preferred stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for American Preferred Stock analysis

When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing