Agilysys Stock Performance

AGYS Stock  USD 80.87  4.72  5.51%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.87, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Agilysys will likely underperform. At this point, Agilysys has a negative expected return of -0.63%. Please make sure to confirm Agilysys' coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Agilysys performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Agilysys has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(5.51)
Five Day Return
(5.32)
Year To Date Return
(29.99)
Ten Year Return
679.09
All Time Return
4.2 K
Last Split Factor
3:2
Dividend Date
2009-08-03
Ex Dividend Date
2009-07-16
Last Split Date
1995-09-07
1
Disposition of 6000 shares by Colvin Donald A of Agilysys at 123.28 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
2
Agilysys Exploring Valuation After Recent Share Price Recovery - simplywall.st
11/25/2025
3
Assessing Agilysys Valuation After Strong MultiYear Shareholder Returns
12/08/2025
4
Agilysys, Inc. Nasdaq Biggest Companies Software Presence
01/20/2026
5
Agilysys Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
01/26/2026
6
Agilysys signals 318M full-year revenue target as subscription growth and implementation efficiencies drive outlook
01/27/2026
7
The Price Is Right For Agilysys, Inc. Even After Diving 30
01/29/2026
8
Agilysys FY2026 EPS Estimate Raised by Northland Securities
01/30/2026
9
Disposition of 368 shares by Mutch John of Agilysys at 137.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
10
PTC Reports Q4 Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
02/03/2026
11
Doximity Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow144.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-148.6 M

Agilysys Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,259  in Agilysys on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,172) from holding Agilysys or give up 34.03% of portfolio value over 90 days. Agilysys is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.4761% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Agilysys, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Agilysys is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Agilysys Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Agilysys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 80.87 90 days 80.87 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agilysys to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Agilysys probability density function shows the probability of Agilysys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.87 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Agilysys will likely underperform. Additionally Agilysys has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Agilysys Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Agilysys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agilysys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agilysys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.3780.8784.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.4367.9388.96
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
129.22142.00157.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.400.410.43
Details

Agilysys Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agilysys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agilysys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agilysys, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agilysys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.87
σ
Overall volatility
14.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Agilysys Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agilysys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agilysys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agilysys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Agilysys has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Agilysys is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from stockstory.org: Doximity Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect

Agilysys Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agilysys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agilysys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agilysys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73 M

Agilysys Fundamentals Growth

Agilysys Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Agilysys, and Agilysys fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Agilysys Stock performance.

About Agilysys Performance

Assessing Agilysys' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Agilysys' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Agilysys is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 20.96  19.91 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.11 

Things to note about Agilysys performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Agilysys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Agilysys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agilysys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Agilysys has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Agilysys is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from stockstory.org: Doximity Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect
Evaluating Agilysys' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Agilysys' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Agilysys' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Agilysys' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Agilysys' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Agilysys' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Agilysys' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Agilysys' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Agilysys' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Agilysys' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Agilysys' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Agilysys Stock Analysis

When running Agilysys' price analysis, check to measure Agilysys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilysys is operating at the current time. Most of Agilysys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilysys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilysys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilysys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.