Agilysys Stock Price Patterns
| AGYS Stock | USD 85.59 1.97 2.25% |
Momentum 23
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Agilysys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agilysys from the perspective of Agilysys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agilysys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agilysys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agilysys after-hype prediction price | USD 82.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Agilysys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agilysys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agilysys After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agilysys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agilysys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agilysys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agilysys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agilysys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agilysys' historical news coverage. Agilysys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.41 and 86.37, respectively. We have considered Agilysys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agilysys is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agilysys is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agilysys Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agilysys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agilysys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agilysys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
85.59 | 82.89 | 3.18 |
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Agilysys Hype Timeline
Agilysys is presently traded for 85.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.29. Agilysys is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 82.89. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Agilysys is about 679.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.30. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 244.05. Agilysys last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2009. The entity had 3:2 split on the 7th of September 1995. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Agilysys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agilysys Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agilysys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agilysys' future price movements. Getting to know how Agilysys' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agilysys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BL | Blackline | (3.93) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.01 | (5.51) | 12.75 | |
| GBTG | Global Business Travel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.82 | (6.13) | 15.25 | |
| PTRN | Pattern Group Series | 0.67 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.93 | (10.31) | 25.95 | |
| DAVE | Dave Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.01 | (6.67) | 19.07 | |
| ASAN | Asana Inc | (0.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.55 | (6.66) | 15.87 | |
| VERX | Vertex | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.45 | (4.81) | 21.09 | |
| FRSH | Freshworks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.99 | (6.67) | 16.54 | |
| KC | Kingsoft Cloud Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.03 | 0.09 | 8.77 | (4.71) | 29.29 | |
| NAVN | Navan Class A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.96 | (9.32) | 21.66 | |
| BLKB | Blackbaud | (1.15) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.59 | (4.13) | 12.40 |
Agilysys Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agilysys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agilysys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agilysys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agilysys Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agilysys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agilysys, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agilysys based on analysis of Agilysys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agilysys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agilysys's related companies.
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Additional Tools for Agilysys Stock Analysis
When running Agilysys' price analysis, check to measure Agilysys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilysys is operating at the current time. Most of Agilysys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilysys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilysys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilysys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.