Applied Digital Stock Performance

APLD Stock  USD 38.26  3.31  9.47%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Applied Digital holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.42, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Applied Digital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Applied Digital is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Applied Digital's downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Applied Digital's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Applied Digital are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain essential indicators, Applied Digital exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow31.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-667.7 M

Applied Digital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,857  in Applied Digital on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  969.00  from holding Applied Digital or generate 33.92% return on investment over 90 days. Applied Digital is currently generating 0.7811% in daily expected returns and assumes 8.0129% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 71% of stocks are less volatile than Applied, and 85% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Applied Digital is expected to generate 10.01 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 10.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Applied Digital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Applied Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.26 90 days 38.26 
about 7.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Applied Digital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.06 (This Applied Digital probability density function shows the probability of Applied Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Applied Digital has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Applied Digital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Applied Digital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Applied Digital has an alpha of 0.7342, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Applied Digital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Applied Digital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Digital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.8536.8544.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.0637.0645.06
Details

Applied Digital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Applied Digital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Applied Digital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Applied Digital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Applied Digital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
5.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Applied Digital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Applied Digital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Applied Digital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applied Digital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Applied Digital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Applied Digital currently holds 702.88 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Applied Digital has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Applied Digital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 215.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (231.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.78 M.
Applied Digital currently holds about 40.83 M in cash with (115.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.44.
Applied Digital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 67.0% of Applied Digital shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Applied Digital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Applied Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Applied Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments113.9 M

Applied Digital Fundamentals Growth

Applied Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Applied Digital, and Applied Digital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Applied Stock performance.

About Applied Digital Performance

By analyzing Applied Digital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Applied Digital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Applied Digital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Applied Digital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Applied Blockchain, Inc. designs, develops, and operates datacenters in North America. Applied Blockchain, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Dallas, Texas. Applied Blockchain operates under Capital Markets classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 55 people.

Things to note about Applied Digital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Applied Digital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Applied Digital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applied Digital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Applied Digital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Applied Digital currently holds 702.88 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Applied Digital has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Applied Digital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 215.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (231.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.78 M.
Applied Digital currently holds about 40.83 M in cash with (115.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.44.
Applied Digital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 67.0% of Applied Digital shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Applied Digital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Applied Digital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Applied Digital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Applied Digital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Applied Digital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Applied Digital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Applied Digital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Applied Digital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Applied Digital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Applied Digital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Applied Digital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis

When running Applied Digital's price analysis, check to measure Applied Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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