Applied Digital Valuation

APLD Stock  USD 38.07  2.15  5.35%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Applied Digital shows a prevailing Real Value of $29.1 per share. The current price of the firm is $38.07. Our model approximates the value of Applied Digital from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.47) %, current valuation of 11.94 B, and Return On Equity of -0.079 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Applied Digital's valuation include:
Price Book
7.7571
Enterprise Value
11.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(7.43)
Price Sales
42.5967
Forward PE
526.3158
Overvalued
Today
38.07
Please note that Applied Digital's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Applied Digital is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Applied Digital's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Applied stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Applied Digital. Since Applied Digital is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Applied Stock. However, Applied Digital's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  38.07 Real  29.1 Target  45.27 Hype  38.07 Naive  36.53
The real value of Applied Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Applied Digital Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Applied Digital's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Applied Digital's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
29.10
Real Value
41.88
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Applied Digital helps investors to forecast how Applied stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Applied Digital more accurately as focusing exclusively on Applied Digital's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.1-0.1-0.1
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.0838.0745.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
29.5336.5343.52
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.2045.2750.25
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Applied Digital's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Applied Digital's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Applied Digital's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Applied Digital we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Applied Digital Cash

137.56 Million

Applied Digital Total Value Analysis

Applied Digital is presently expected to have valuation of 11.94 B with market capitalization of 11.24 B, debt of 702.88 M, and cash on hands of 40.83 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Applied Digital fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
11.94 B
11.24 B
702.88 M
40.83 M

Applied Digital Investor Information

About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.39. Applied Digital had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:6 split on the 13th of April 2022. Applied Digital is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in March.

Applied Digital Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Applied Digital has an asset utilization ratio of 11.52 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.12 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Applied Digital is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Applied Digital Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Applied Digital's profitability measurements, Applied Digital may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high chance of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Applied Digital's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2001-08-31
Previous Quarter
-16.9 M
Current Value
-17.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
23.7 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Applied Digital's Gross Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting.
For Applied Digital profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Applied Digital to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Applied Digital utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Applied Digital's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Applied Digital over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Applied Digital Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Applied Digital is estimated to be -0.1025 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.1025 to a high of -0.1025. Applied Digital's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.39. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Applied Digital is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Applied Digital is projected to generate -0.1025 in earnings per share on the 31st of May 2026. Applied Digital earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Applied Digital EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Applied Digital's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Applied Digital, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Applied Digital Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Applied Digital's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Applied Digital is estimated to be -0.1025 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.1025 to a high of -0.1025. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Applied Digital is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.1
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.1025
-0.1
Highest

Applied Digital Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Applied Digital's value are higher than the current market price of the Applied Digital stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Applied Digital is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Applied Digital's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of May 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1240.77%
0.0
-0.1025
-0.39

Applied Digital Ownership Allocation

Applied Digital holds a total of 279.59 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Applied Digital's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Applied Digital Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 215.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (231.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.78 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Applied Digital's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Applied Digital and how it compares across the competition.

About Applied Digital Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Applied Digital's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Applied Digital. We calculate exposure to Applied Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Applied Digital's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit26.1 M27.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.85)(0.89)
Operating Profit Margin(0.30)(0.32)
Net Loss(0.96)(1.01)
Gross Profit Margin 0.09  0.10 

Applied Digital Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Applied Digital does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding201.2 M
Forward Price Earnings526.3158

Applied Digital Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Applied Digital and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Applied we look at many different elements of the entity such as Applied's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Applied Digital, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Applied Digital's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Applied Digital's worth.

Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis

When running Applied Digital's price analysis, check to measure Applied Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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