American Riviera Bank Stock Performance

ARBV Stock  USD 23.50  0.50  2.17%   
American Riviera has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning American Riviera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, American Riviera is likely to outperform the market. American Riviera Bank right now shows a risk of 1.13%. Please confirm American Riviera Bank standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if American Riviera Bank will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Riviera Bank are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental drivers, American Riviera may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow8.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-337.9 M
  

American Riviera Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,180  in American Riviera Bank on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  170.00  from holding American Riviera Bank or generate 7.8% return on investment over 90 days. American Riviera Bank is currently generating 0.1274% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.1261% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of otc stocks are less volatile than American, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Riviera is expected to generate 1.52 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

American Riviera Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.50 90 days 23.50 
about 26.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Riviera to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.79 (This American Riviera Bank probability density function shows the probability of American OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Riviera Bank has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Riviera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Riviera Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Riviera Bank has an alpha of 0.142, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Riviera Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Riviera

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Riviera Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3723.5024.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8620.9925.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.3123.4324.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.8523.6324.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Riviera. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Riviera's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Riviera's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Riviera Bank.

American Riviera Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Riviera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Riviera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Riviera Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Riviera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

American Riviera Fundamentals Growth

American OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Riviera, and American Riviera fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American OTC Stock performance.

About American Riviera Performance

Evaluating American Riviera's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if American Riviera has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American Riviera has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
American Riviera Bancorp operates as a bank holding company for American Riviera Bank that provides a range of community banking products and services for businesses and consumers in California. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California. American Riviera is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about American Riviera Bank performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Riviera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Riviera Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating American Riviera's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Riviera's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Riviera's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Riviera's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Riviera's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Riviera's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Riviera's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Riviera's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Riviera's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Riviera's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Riviera's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for American OTC Stock Analysis

When running American Riviera's price analysis, check to measure American Riviera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Riviera is operating at the current time. Most of American Riviera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Riviera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Riviera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Riviera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.