Aecon Group Stock Performance

ARE Stock  CAD 36.69  0.08  0.22%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Aecon holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aecon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aecon is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Aecon's sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the information ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Aecon's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aecon Group are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Aecon displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0207
Payout Ratio
5.4286
Last Split Factor
10:77
Forward Dividend Rate
0.76
Dividend Date
2026-01-05
1
How Aecon Group Inc. stock correlates with oil markets - Portfolio Update Summary Weekly High Return Stock Opportunities - newser.com
11/14/2025
2
Is Aecon Group Inc. stock good for wealth creation - Portfolio Gains Summary Technical Pattern Alert System - newser.com
11/17/2025
3
Aecon Group Inc. Shares Surge Amid Strong Revenue - TipRanks
12/01/2025
4
Aecon Group Reaches New 52-Week High After Analyst Upgrade - MarketBeat
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow645.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-180.7 M
  

Aecon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,636  in Aecon Group on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,033  from holding Aecon Group or generate 39.19% return on investment over 90 days. Aecon Group is generating 0.5592% of daily returns assuming 2.239% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 20% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Aecon, and 89% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aecon is expected to generate 2.88 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Aecon Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aecon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.69 90 days 36.69 
about 5.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aecon to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.2 (This Aecon Group probability density function shows the probability of Aecon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aecon has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aecon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aecon Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aecon Group has an alpha of 0.3385, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aecon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aecon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aecon Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.9136.1538.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.0240.1142.35
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.330.08
Details

Aecon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aecon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aecon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aecon Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aecon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
3.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Aecon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aecon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aecon Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (59.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 357.21 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aecon Group Reaches New 52-Week High After Analyst Upgrade - MarketBeat

Aecon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aecon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aecon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aecon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments438 M

Aecon Fundamentals Growth

Aecon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aecon, and Aecon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aecon Stock performance.

About Aecon Performance

By examining Aecon's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Aecon's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Aecon is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.23  4.15 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.07)(0.07)

Things to note about Aecon Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aecon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aecon Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 4.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (59.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 357.21 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aecon Group Reaches New 52-Week High After Analyst Upgrade - MarketBeat
Evaluating Aecon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aecon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aecon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aecon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aecon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aecon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aecon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aecon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aecon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aecon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aecon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Aecon Stock

Aecon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aecon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aecon with respect to the benefits of owning Aecon security.