Accelerant Holdings Stock Performance
| ARX Stock | 10.95 0.51 4.45% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.55, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Accelerant Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Accelerant Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Accelerant Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm Accelerant Holdings' jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Accelerant Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Accelerant Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.45) | Five Day Return (7.67) | Year To Date Return (29.85) | Ten Year Return (58.68) | All Time Return (58.68) |
1 | Acquisition by Gaynor Samuel of 7500 shares of Accelerant Holdings at 13.4365 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/19/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Meriwether Karen Sue of 542 shares of Accelerant Holdings at 14.6695 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/08/2025 |
3 | Accelerant Holdings Class A Receives a Buy from Roth MKM - The Globe and Mail | 12/23/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Nancy Hasley of 500 shares of Accelerant Holdings at 21.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/24/2025 |
5 | What a 14 Million Accelerant Bet Signals to Long-Term Investors After the Firms July IPO | 12/26/2025 |
6 | Will Accelerant Holdings Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report | 01/14/2026 |
7 | Study demonstrates effectiveness and economic value of Myriad in trauma and acute care surgery. | 01/22/2026 |
8 | Insiders Who Sold Aroa Biosurgery Made The Right Call As Market Cap Slides By AU33m | 01/30/2026 |
9 | Disposition of 200637 shares by Jay Green of Accelerant Holdings at 12.76 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/02/2026 |
10 | Accelerant Announces Date of Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Conference Call | 02/09/2026 |
11 | BMO Capital Markets Cuts ARC Resources Price Target to C28.00 | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 775.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -380.1 M |
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Accelerant Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,293 in Accelerant Holdings on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (198.00) from holding Accelerant Holdings or give up 15.31% of portfolio value over 90 days. Accelerant Holdings is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.0507% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Accelerant, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Accelerant Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Accelerant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.95 | 90 days | 10.95 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accelerant Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Accelerant Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Accelerant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Accelerant Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Accelerant Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accelerant Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Accelerant Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accelerant Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accelerant Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accelerant Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accelerant Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Accelerant Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accelerant Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accelerant Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Accelerant Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Accelerant Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Accelerant Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: BMO Capital Markets Cuts ARC Resources Price Target to C28.00 |
Accelerant Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accelerant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accelerant Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accelerant Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Accelerant Holdings Fundamentals Growth
Accelerant Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Accelerant Holdings, and Accelerant Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Accelerant Stock performance.
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.25 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 113.33 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 14.59 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 17.02 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 10.52 X | ||||
| Revenue | 584.64 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 346 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 77.94 M | ||||
| Net Income | 22.4 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.27 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.55 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 121.4 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.29 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.40 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (30.36) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 785.5 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.13 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 6.37 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 6.09 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (182.8 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 262.83 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 391.97 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 129.14 M | ||||
About Accelerant Holdings Performance
Evaluating Accelerant Holdings' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Accelerant Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Accelerant Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.06 | 0.06 |
Things to note about Accelerant Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Accelerant Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Accelerant Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Accelerant Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Accelerant Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Accelerant Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: BMO Capital Markets Cuts ARC Resources Price Target to C28.00 |
- Analyzing Accelerant Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Accelerant Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Accelerant Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Accelerant Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Accelerant Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Accelerant Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Accelerant Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Accelerant Stock Analysis
When running Accelerant Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Accelerant Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accelerant Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Accelerant Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accelerant Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accelerant Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accelerant Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.