Accelerant Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| ARX Stock | 14.52 0.33 2.22% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.365 |
Using Accelerant Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Accelerant Holdings from the perspective of Accelerant Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Accelerant Holdings using Accelerant Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Accelerant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Accelerant Holdings' stock price.
Accelerant Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Accelerant Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Accelerant Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Accelerant Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 28.013 |
Accelerant Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Accelerant Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Accelerant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Accelerant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Accelerant Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Accelerant Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Accelerant Holdings.
Accelerant Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.6 |
Accelerant Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Accelerant Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Accelerant Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Accelerant Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Accelerant Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Accelerant Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Accelerant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Accelerant Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 14.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Accelerant contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Accelerant Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Accelerant Holdings trading at USD 14.52, that is roughly USD 0.0145 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Accelerant Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Accelerant Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Accelerant | Build AI portfolio with Accelerant Stock |
Accelerant Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Accelerant Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Accelerant Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Accelerant Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Accelerant Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Accelerant Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Accelerant Holdings' historical news coverage. Accelerant Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.33 and 17.71, respectively. We have considered Accelerant Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Accelerant Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Accelerant Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Accelerant Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Accelerant Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Accelerant Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Accelerant Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.12 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 19 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 19 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.52 | 14.52 | 0.00 |
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Accelerant Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Accelerant Holdings is traded for 14.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Accelerant is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Accelerant Holdings is about 891.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.36. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 19 days. Check out Accelerant Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Accelerant Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Accelerant Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Accelerant Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Accelerant Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Accelerant Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (0.91) | 8 per month | 2.32 | (0.02) | 3.65 | (3.99) | 14.87 | |
| BHF | Brighthouse Financial | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.72 | 0.11 | 0.94 | (1.28) | 31.02 | |
| HG | Hamilton Insurance Group | (0.54) | 11 per month | 1.19 | 0.05 | 2.26 | (2.26) | 12.81 | |
| HCI | HCI Group | (0.64) | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.88 | (4.10) | 9.93 | |
| SFNC | Simmons First National | 0.06 | 1 per month | 1.34 | 0.08 | 3.23 | (2.02) | 13.76 | |
| CVBF | CVB Financial | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.02 | 3.01 | (2.89) | 9.56 | |
| PRK | Park National | (1.92) | 8 per month | 1.63 | (0.02) | 2.59 | (1.81) | 9.22 | |
| TOWN | Towne Bank | 0.06 | 4 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 2.74 | (2.43) | 7.41 | |
| BBUC | Brookfield Business Corp | 0.80 | 12 per month | 2.77 | (0.03) | 3.65 | (3.05) | 12.49 |
Accelerant Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Accelerant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Accelerant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Accelerant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Accelerant Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Accelerant Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Accelerant Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Accelerant Holdings based on analysis of Accelerant Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Accelerant Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Accelerant Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.5K | 2.3K | 1.4K | PTB Ratio | 14.13 | 10.76 | 14.84 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| HITI | High Tide | |
| HITI | High Tide | |
| BAC | Bank of America |
Additional Tools for Accelerant Stock Analysis
When running Accelerant Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Accelerant Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accelerant Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Accelerant Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accelerant Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accelerant Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accelerant Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.