Austal Limited Stock Performance

AUTLF Stock  USD 4.30  0.10  2.38%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.72, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Austal will likely underperform. Austal Limited right now shows a risk of 4.86%. Please confirm Austal Limited treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Austal Limited will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Austal Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable essential indicators, Austal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow346.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-127.5 M
  

Austal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  456.00  in Austal Limited on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (26.00) from holding Austal Limited or give up 5.7% of portfolio value over 90 days. Austal Limited is currently producing 0.0209% returns and takes up 4.8618% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 43% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Austal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Austal is expected to generate 3.66 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Austal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Austal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.30 90 days 4.30 
about 77.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Austal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.78 (This Austal Limited probability density function shows the probability of Austal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.72 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Austal will likely underperform. Additionally Austal Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Austal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Austal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austal Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.224.309.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.918.77
Details

Austal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Austal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Austal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Austal Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Austal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.0094

Austal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Austal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Austal Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Austal Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Austal Fundamentals Growth

Austal Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Austal, and Austal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Austal Pink Sheet performance.

About Austal Performance

By analyzing Austal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Austal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Austal has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Austal has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Austal Limited engages in the design, manufacture, and support of vessels for commercial and defense customers worldwide. Austal Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Henderson, Australia. Austal operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 5000 people.

Things to note about Austal Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Austal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Austal Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Austal Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Austal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Austal's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Austal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Austal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Austal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Austal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Austal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Austal's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Austal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Austal's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Austal's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Austal Pink Sheet analysis

When running Austal's price analysis, check to measure Austal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Austal is operating at the current time. Most of Austal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Austal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Austal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Austal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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