Axfood AB (Sweden) Performance

AXFO Stock  SEK 305.10  15.40  5.32%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Axfood AB holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0961, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Axfood AB's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Axfood AB is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Axfood AB's downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Axfood AB's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Axfood AB are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Axfood AB unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow734 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.8 B
  

Axfood AB Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  25,960  in Axfood AB on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,550  from holding Axfood AB or generate 17.53% return on investment over 90 days. Axfood AB is generating 0.2791% of daily returns and assumes 1.3879% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Axfood, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Axfood AB is expected to generate 1.87 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.87 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Axfood AB Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Axfood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 305.10 90 days 305.10 
about 7.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axfood AB to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.35 (This Axfood AB probability density function shows the probability of Axfood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Axfood AB has a beta of 0.0961. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Axfood AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Axfood AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Axfood AB has an alpha of 0.2658, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Axfood AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Axfood AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axfood AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
303.71305.10306.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
274.59348.16349.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
296.77298.16299.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
282.39299.18315.97
Details

Axfood AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axfood AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axfood AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axfood AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axfood AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
16.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Axfood AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axfood AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axfood AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Axfood AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Axfood AB has accumulated 7.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 217.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Axfood AB has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Axfood AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axfood AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axfood AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axfood to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axfood AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 52.0% of Axfood AB shares are held by company insiders

Axfood AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axfood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axfood AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axfood AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding215.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments559 M

Axfood AB Fundamentals Growth

Axfood Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Axfood AB, and Axfood AB fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Axfood Stock performance.

About Axfood AB Performance

Assessing Axfood AB's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Axfood AB's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Axfood AB is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Axfood AB engages in the food retail and wholesale businesses in Sweden. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden. Axfood AB operates under Diversified Wholesale And Retail classification in Sweden and is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange. It employs 10260 people.

Things to note about Axfood AB performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Axfood AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Axfood AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Axfood AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Axfood AB has accumulated 7.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 217.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Axfood AB has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Axfood AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Axfood AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Axfood AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Axfood to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Axfood AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 52.0% of Axfood AB shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Axfood AB's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Axfood AB's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Axfood AB's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Axfood AB's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Axfood AB's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Axfood AB's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Axfood AB's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Axfood AB's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Axfood AB's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Axfood AB's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Axfood AB's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Axfood Stock Analysis

When running Axfood AB's price analysis, check to measure Axfood AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axfood AB is operating at the current time. Most of Axfood AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axfood AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axfood AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axfood AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.