Azul SA Performance

AZULDelisted Stock  USD 0.27  0.26  2,600%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.71, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Azul SA are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Azul SA is expected to outperform it. Azul SA right now shows a risk of 0.0%. Please confirm Azul SA treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Azul SA will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Azul SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, Azul SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
  

Azul SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  27.00  in Azul SA on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Azul SA or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Azul SA is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of stocks are less volatile than Azul, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

Azul SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Azul Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.27 90 days 0.27 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Azul SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Azul SA probability density function shows the probability of Azul Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Azul SA has a beta of -1.71. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Azul SA are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Azul SA is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Azul SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Azul SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Azul SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Azul SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Azul SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.270.270.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.260.260.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.320.320.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.300.590.87
Details

Azul SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Azul SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Azul SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Azul SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Azul SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-2.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Azul SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Azul SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Azul SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Azul SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Azul SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Azul SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Azul SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Azul SA currently holds 37.54 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 122.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Azul SA has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Azul SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 19.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.15 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.18 B.

Azul SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Azul Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Azul SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Azul SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

Azul SA Fundamentals Growth

Azul Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Azul SA, and Azul SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Azul Stock performance.

About Azul SA Performance

By examining Azul SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Azul SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Azul SA is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Azul S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo transportation services in Brazil. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil. Azul SA operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12485 people.

Things to note about Azul SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Azul SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Azul SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Azul SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Azul SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Azul SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Azul SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Azul SA currently holds 37.54 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 122.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Azul SA has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Azul SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 19.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.15 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.18 B.
Evaluating Azul SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Azul SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Azul SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Azul SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Azul SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Azul SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Azul SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Azul SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Azul SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Azul SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Azul SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Other Consideration for investing in Azul Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Azul SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Azul SA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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