Azul Sa Stock Analysis

AZUL Stock  USD 2.52  0.05  1.95%   
Azul SA is undervalued with Real Value of 5.72 and Target Price of 15.55. The main objective of Azul SA stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Azul SA is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Azul SA's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Azul SA stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Azul SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
For more information on how to buy Azul Stock please use our How to buy in Azul Stock guide.

Azul Stock Analysis Notes

About 15.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 8.82. Azul SA had not issued any dividends in recent years. Azul S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo transportation services in Brazil. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil. Azul SA operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12485 people. For more info on Azul SA please contact David Neeleman at 55 11 4831 2880 or go to https://www.voeazul.com.br/ir.

Azul SA Quarterly Total Revenue

4.17 Billion

Azul SA Investment Alerts

Azul SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Azul SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Azul SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Azul SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Azul SA currently holds 26.34 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 122.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Azul SA has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Azul SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 18.55 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.68 B.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Investors Bet on AZUL Stock Despite Q3 Earnings Miss

Azul SA Upcoming and Recent Events

4th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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20th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
4th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Azul Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Azul SA's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-11-14
2024-09-30-0.37-0.320.0513 
2018-11-08
2018-09-300.210.260.0523 
2019-03-14
2018-12-310.380.32-0.0615 
View All Earnings Estimates

Azul SA Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Azul SA's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Azul SA's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Azul SA's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Azul SA's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Azul SA Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Azul SA stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Airlines Idea
Airlines
Major domestic and international airlines

Azul Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Vr Advisory Services Ltd2024-06-30
292.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
273.2 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
202.3 K
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co Llc2024-09-30
162.1 K
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-06-30
151.6 K
Optiver Holding B.v.2024-06-30
145.5 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
127.9 K
Mirae Asset Global Investments (korea) Co Ltd2024-09-30
125.7 K
Group One Trading, Lp2024-06-30
98 K
Long Focus Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
M
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc2024-06-30
2.9 M
Note, although Azul SA's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Azul Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 287.4 M.

Azul Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.35) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.12)(0.13)
Return On Capital Employed 0.29  0.30 
Return On Assets(0.12)(0.12)
Return On Equity 0.11  0.08 

Management Efficiency

Azul SA has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0685 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0685 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Azul SA's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Azul SA manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.30 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to (0.13). At this time, Azul SA's Non Currrent Assets Other are quite stable compared to the past year. Other Current Assets is expected to rise to about 1.1 B this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 8.7 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(61.37)(58.30)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(65.58)(62.30)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.12  8.67 
Price Book Value Ratio(0.77)(0.73)
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.12  8.67 
Price Fair Value(0.77)(0.73)
Enterprise Value42.1 B44.2 B
Azul SA benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Operating Margin
0.1057
Profit Margin
(0.35)
Beta
1.855
Return On Assets
0.0685

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Azul SA shows the Standard Deviation of 7.22, mean deviation of 4.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04). Azul SA technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Azul SA market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Azul SA is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.52 per share. Please also double-check Azul SA jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.70) to validate the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Azul SA Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Azul SA middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Azul SA. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Azul SA Outstanding Bonds

Azul SA issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Azul SA uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Azul bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Azul SA has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Azul SA Predictive Daily Indicators

Azul SA intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Azul SA stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Azul SA Corporate Filings

6K
14th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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6K
28th of October 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
8th of October 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
16th of September 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
9th of September 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
29th of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
12th of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
17th of July 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Azul SA Forecast Models

Azul SA's time-series forecasting models are one of many Azul SA's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Azul SA's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Azul Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Azul SA prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Azul shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Azul SA. By using and applying Azul Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Azul entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.13)(0.13)
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Net Loss(0.13)(0.13)
Gross Profit Margin 0.17  0.13 

Current Azul Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Azul analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Azul analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
15.55Buy8Odds
Azul SA current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Azul analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Azul stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Azul SA, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Azul conference calls.
Azul Analyst Advice Details

Azul Stock Analysis Indicators

Azul SA stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Azul SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Azul SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Azul SA stock analysis, traders can identify Azul SA position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow312.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity-21.3 B
Capital Lease Obligations15.1 B
Property Plant And Equipment Net11 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B
Cash540.3 M
50 Day M A2.9698
Net Interest Income-4.8 B
Total Current Liabilities14.7 B
Forward Price Earnings47.3934
Interest Expense5.4 B
Stock Based Compensation71.6 M
Long Term Debt9.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding347.5 M
Tax Provision39.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.557
Accounts Payable2.3 B
Net Debt24.4 B
Other Operating Expenses16.7 B
Non Current Assets Total15.5 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity20.5 B
Non Currrent Assets Other1.7 B
When determining whether Azul SA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Azul SA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Azul SA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Azul Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Azul SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
For more information on how to buy Azul Stock please use our How to buy in Azul Stock guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Azul SA. If investors know Azul will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Azul SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.56)
Earnings Share
(8.82)
Revenue Per Share
161.325
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0685
The market value of Azul SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Azul that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Azul SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Azul SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Azul SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Azul SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Azul SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Azul SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azul SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.