Dutch Bros Stock Performance

BROS Stock  USD 53.20  2.38  4.68%   
Dutch Bros has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.84, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dutch Bros will likely underperform. Dutch Bros right now shows a risk of 2.89%. Please confirm Dutch Bros treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Dutch Bros will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dutch Bros are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Dutch Bros is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.68
Five Day Return
(6.67)
Year To Date Return
(14.41)
Ten Year Return
45.04
All Time Return
45.04
1
Dutch Bros Is Up 6.0 percent After Ambitious 2,029-Shop Plan And Capital-Light Shift Announced
12/22/2025
2
CMG Stock Rises 16 percent in a Month Should You Buy Now or Hold Steady
01/08/2026
3
This Lesser-Known Stock Might Be a Better Buy Than Its Famous Rival
01/22/2026
4
Dutch Bros Inc. Positioned for Continued Same-Store Sales Momentum, Says Citi
02/02/2026
5
Is Dutch Bros Share Slide Creating A Fresh Opening For Investors
02/04/2026
6
Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight Rating On Dutch Bros Following 2026 Sector Outlook Note
02/05/2026
7
Dutch Bros CPG Products Expand to More Stores and Online
02/10/2026
8
Dutch Bros Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect
02/11/2026
9
Dutch Bros Reports Upbeat Q4 CY2025, Stock Jumps 15.2
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow293.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-241.1 M

Dutch Bros Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,162  in Dutch Bros on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  158.00  from holding Dutch Bros or generate 3.06% return on investment over 90 days. Dutch Bros is currently generating 0.089% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.8878% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Dutch, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Dutch Bros is expected to generate 1.13 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.78 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Dutch Bros Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dutch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 53.20 90 days 53.20 
about 91.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dutch Bros to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.8 (This Dutch Bros probability density function shows the probability of Dutch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.84 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dutch Bros will likely underperform. Additionally Dutch Bros has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dutch Bros Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dutch Bros

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dutch Bros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.4253.3356.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.8862.3665.27
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.1677.1085.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.220.24
Details

Dutch Bros Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dutch Bros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dutch Bros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dutch Bros, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dutch Bros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.84
σ
Overall volatility
4.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Dutch Bros Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dutch Bros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dutch Bros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dutch Bros currently holds 236.64 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dutch Bros has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Dutch Bros' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Dutch Bros has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of Dutch Bros shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from stockstory.org: Dutch Bros Reports Upbeat Q4 CY2025, Stock Jumps 15.2

Dutch Bros Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dutch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dutch Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dutch Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments269.4 M

Dutch Bros Fundamentals Growth

Dutch Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dutch Bros, and Dutch Bros fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dutch Stock performance.

About Dutch Bros Performance

Assessing Dutch Bros' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Dutch Bros' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Dutch Bros is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 14.70  24.85 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.07 

Things to note about Dutch Bros performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dutch Bros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dutch Bros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dutch Bros currently holds 236.64 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dutch Bros has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Dutch Bros' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Dutch Bros has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of Dutch Bros shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from stockstory.org: Dutch Bros Reports Upbeat Q4 CY2025, Stock Jumps 15.2
Evaluating Dutch Bros' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dutch Bros' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Dutch Bros' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dutch Bros' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dutch Bros' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dutch Bros' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dutch Bros' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dutch Bros' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dutch Bros' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dutch Bros' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dutch Bros' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Dutch Stock Analysis

When running Dutch Bros' price analysis, check to measure Dutch Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dutch Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Dutch Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dutch Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dutch Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dutch Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.