Caterpillar Stock Performance

CATR Stock   54.99  0.69  1.24%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Caterpillar holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Caterpillar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Caterpillar is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Caterpillar's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Caterpillar's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Caterpillar are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Caterpillar exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0104
Payout Ratio
0.2851
Forward Dividend Rate
0.43
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-20
1
Caterpillar CFO Bonfield sells 5.7 million in stock - Investing.com
12/02/2025
2
Investors Heavily Search Caterpillar Inc. Here is What You Need to Know - Yahoo Finance
12/10/2025
3
Caterpillars Surging Stock Is Fueled by AI, Not Yellow Excavators - The Wall Street Journal
12/30/2025
4
LS Investment Advisors LLC Sells 2,694 Shares of Caterpillar Inc. CAT - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
5
Caterpillar Stock Hits This Milestone. Yes, Its AI. - Barrons
01/13/2026
6
Caterpillar Inc. CAT Shares Bought by Vanguard Personalized Indexing Management LLC - MarketBeat
01/26/2026
7
Oppenheimer raises Caterpillar stock price target on strong backlog growth - Investing.com
01/29/2026
8
Rothschild Co Redburn Issues Positive Forecast for Caterpillar Stock Price - MarketBeat
02/04/2026
9
Caterpillar, Nike share gains contribute to Dows nearly 250-point jump - MSN
02/13/2026
  

Caterpillar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,992  in Caterpillar on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,507  from holding Caterpillar or generate 37.75% return on investment over 90 days. Caterpillar is generating 0.55% of daily returns and assumes 2.1963% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Caterpillar, and 89% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caterpillar is expected to generate 2.91 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Caterpillar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Caterpillar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 54.99 90 days 54.99 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caterpillar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Caterpillar probability density function shows the probability of Caterpillar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caterpillar has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Caterpillar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Caterpillar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Caterpillar has an alpha of 0.4668, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Caterpillar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Caterpillar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caterpillar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.7454.9457.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.4940.6960.49
Details

Caterpillar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caterpillar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caterpillar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caterpillar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caterpillar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
4.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Caterpillar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caterpillar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caterpillar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Caterpillar Fundamentals Growth

Caterpillar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Caterpillar, and Caterpillar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Caterpillar Stock performance.

About Caterpillar Performance

By analyzing Caterpillar's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Caterpillar's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Caterpillar has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Caterpillar has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Caterpillar is entity of Canada. It is traded as Stock on NEO exchange.

Things to note about Caterpillar performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Caterpillar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Caterpillar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Caterpillar's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Caterpillar's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Caterpillar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Caterpillar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Caterpillar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Caterpillar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Caterpillar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Caterpillar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Caterpillar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Caterpillar's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Caterpillar's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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