Canfor Stock Performance

CFP Stock  CAD 13.75  0.17  1.25%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Canfor holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.03, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Canfor returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Canfor is expected to follow. Please check Canfor's sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Canfor's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Canfor are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Canfor displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:4
Ex Dividend Date
2003-06-11
Last Split Date
2014-12-29
1
Canfor Corporation to acquire Canfor Pulp - The Globe and Mail
12/03/2025
2
Why analysts recommend Canfor Pulp Products Inc. stock - 2025 Key Lessons Weekly Momentum Picks -
12/19/2025
3
Canfor Share Price Passes Below 200 Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
01/09/2026
4
Canfor Insider Ups Holding During Year - simplywall.st
01/27/2026
5
Canfor announces asset write-down and impairment charge - The Manila Times
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow627.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-672.2 M
  

Canfor Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,184  in Canfor on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  191.00  from holding Canfor or generate 16.13% return on investment over 90 days. Canfor is generating 0.2726% of daily returns assuming 2.3486% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 21% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Canfor, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Canfor is expected to generate 3.1 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.1 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Canfor Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Canfor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.75 90 days 13.75 
about 33.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canfor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.48 (This Canfor probability density function shows the probability of Canfor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 suggesting Canfor market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Canfor is expected to follow. Additionally Canfor has an alpha of 0.2483, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Canfor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Canfor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canfor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5713.9216.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2413.5915.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0313.3715.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.2-1.02-0.74
Details

Canfor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canfor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canfor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canfor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canfor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Canfor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canfor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canfor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 5.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (736.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 994 M.
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Canfor announces asset write-down and impairment charge - The Manila Times

Canfor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canfor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canfor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canfor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments259.3 M

Canfor Fundamentals Growth

Canfor Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Canfor, and Canfor fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Canfor Stock performance.

About Canfor Performance

By examining Canfor's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Canfor's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Canfor is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 90.57  88.68 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.13)(0.12)
Return On Capital Employed(0.24)(0.22)
Return On Assets(0.11)(0.10)
Return On Equity(0.18)(0.17)

Things to note about Canfor performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Canfor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Canfor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 5.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (736.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 994 M.
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Canfor announces asset write-down and impairment charge - The Manila Times
Evaluating Canfor's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Canfor's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Canfor's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Canfor's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Canfor's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Canfor's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Canfor's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Canfor's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Canfor's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Canfor's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Canfor's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Canfor Stock

Canfor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canfor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canfor with respect to the benefits of owning Canfor security.