Centerra Gold Stock Performance

CGAU Stock  USD 21.03  0.96  4.78%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Centerra Gold holds a performance score of 17. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.0, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Centerra Gold returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Centerra Gold is expected to follow. Please check Centerra Gold's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Centerra Gold's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Centerra Gold are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Centerra Gold unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.78
Five Day Return
10.98
Year To Date Return
48.73
Ten Year Return
290.17
All Time Return
309.94
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0101
Payout Ratio
0.1793
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.2
Dividend Date
2026-03-26
1
Is Centerra Gold Stock Undervalued Right Now
12/11/2025
2
Centerra Gold Reaches New 1-Year High Still a Buy
01/14/2026
3
Centerra Gold Receives Permit Amendments for Mount Milligan to Continue Operations Through 2035 Meets Expedited Schedule as Per Commitment from the Province of ...
01/21/2026
4
Centerra Gold Reports Explosion at Langeloth No Fatalities or Significant Environmental Releases
01/30/2026
5
All You Need to Know About Centerra Gold Rating Upgrade to Buy - Yahoo Finance
02/04/2026
6
CIBC Raises its Price Target on Centerra Gold Inc. to C37 and Reiterates an Outperformer Rating
02/11/2026
7
Centerra Gold Inc. CGAU Holdings Boosted by Heartland Advisors Inc.
02/17/2026
8
Centerra Gold Announces 2025 Year-End Mineral Reserves and Resources and Provides Exploration Update Gold and Copper Reserves Increased 58 percent and 49
02/19/2026
9
Centerra Gold Inc. Receives Average Rating of Moderate Buy from Analysts
02/20/2026
10
Stock Market Analysis - Stock Traders Daily
02/24/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow624.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-309.2 M

Centerra Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,328  in Centerra Gold on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  775.00  from holding Centerra Gold or generate 58.36% return on investment over 90 days. Centerra Gold is currently generating 0.8287% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.7946% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Centerra, and 84% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Centerra Gold is expected to generate 5.0 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Centerra Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Centerra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.03 90 days 21.03 
roughly 2.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centerra Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.1 (This Centerra Gold probability density function shows the probability of Centerra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Centerra Gold has a beta of 1.0 suggesting Centerra Gold market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Centerra Gold is expected to follow. Additionally Centerra Gold has an alpha of 0.8851, implying that it can generate a 0.89 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Centerra Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Centerra Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centerra Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.8720.6624.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0617.8521.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.3122.1025.90
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.2416.7518.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Centerra Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Centerra Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Centerra Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Centerra Gold.

Centerra Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centerra Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centerra Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centerra Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centerra Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.89
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Centerra Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centerra Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centerra Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Centerra Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Centerra Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock Market Analysis - Stock Traders Daily

Centerra Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Centerra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Centerra Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centerra Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding205.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments539.9 M

Centerra Gold Fundamentals Growth

Centerra Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Centerra Gold, and Centerra Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Centerra Stock performance.

About Centerra Gold Performance

Assessing Centerra Gold's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Centerra Gold's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Centerra Gold is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 121.17  165.22 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.20  0.21 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.20  0.21 
Return On Equity 0.29  0.30 

Things to note about Centerra Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Centerra Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Centerra Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Centerra Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Centerra Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock Market Analysis - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Centerra Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Centerra Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Centerra Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Centerra Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Centerra Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Centerra Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Centerra Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Centerra Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Centerra Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Centerra Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Centerra Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Centerra Stock Analysis

When running Centerra Gold's price analysis, check to measure Centerra Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centerra Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Centerra Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centerra Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centerra Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centerra Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.