Centerra Gold Stock Performance

CGAU Stock  USD 18.02  0.01  0.06%   
Centerra Gold's price-return history is consolidated with risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe and alpha. Across the 3 months window, Centerra Gold shows an expected return of 0.13% and pays a 1.17% yield.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0100
2 · Soft
Risk-adjusted returns for Centerra Gold fall below 2% of the global equities and portfolios universe across the last 90 days. A lower ranking does not preclude recovery, but it does signal that recent efficiency has lagged peers. Centerra Gold has posted moderately positive risk-adjusted returns recently, though the trend requires confirmation over a longer horizon. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,728 in Centerra Gold on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 74.00 , a return of 4.28% over 90 days. Centerra Gold is currently generating a 0.1296% daily expected return and carries 3.56% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Centerra Gold exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 69% of comparable stocks, and CGAU has trailed 98% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given a 90-day horizon, CGAU generates 3.84 times more return on investment than the market. However, CGAU is 3.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.04% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Centerra Gold Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some stocks remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
18.02 90 days 18.02
about 63.83 %
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centerra Gold moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 63.83 %. Over this horizon, the return distribution for this stock has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for Centerra Gold Stock over the next 90 days).
Given a 90-day horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.04 suggesting when the benchmark rises, CGAU tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Centerra Gold tends to underperform. Additionally, Centerra Gold has an alpha of 0.1827, implying that it can generate a 0.1827 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Centerra Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Centerra Gold

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the stock market and estimating future values of Centerra Gold. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.
Experienced market participants anticipate that Centerra Gold's price will even out over time. Periods when Centerra Gold's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
14.4618.0221.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
14.6418.2021.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.6716.2419.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7018.5820.45
Details
Competitive analysis for Centerra Gold compares its financial performance and valuation metrics against sector peers. Cross-sectional comparison separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level dynamics.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market, and Centerra Gold is no exception. Centerra Gold has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to Centerra Gold flag material changes in stock conditions early. Centerra Gold notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.
Centerra Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
On 26th of March 2026 Centerra Gold paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Surging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for Methanex Stock

Price Density Drivers

Price dynamics for Centerra Gold Stock are shaped by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. Key indicators for Centerra Gold capture the primary forces influencing short-term price behavior.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding205.59 million
Cash And Short Term Investments539.91 million

Centerra Gold Fundamentals Growth

Centerra Gold Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of Centerra Gold's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape Centerra Gold Stock market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Centerra Gold risk-adjusted performance measures whether returns compensate for the volatility borne by holders. Sharpe and Sortino ratios frame return efficiency relative to total and downside risk. Centerra Gold shows ROE of 31.43%, ROA of 14.26% (TTM).

Centerra Gold data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board