Centerra Gold Stock Price Prediction
| CGAU Stock | USD 5.96 0.28 4.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7575 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7096 | Wall Street Target Price 8.75 |
Using Centerra Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centerra Gold from the perspective of Centerra Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Centerra Gold Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Centerra Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Centerra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Centerra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Centerra Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Centerra Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Centerra Gold.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Centerra Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Centerra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Centerra Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 5.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Centerra |
Centerra Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Centerra Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Centerra Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Centerra Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Centerra Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Centerra Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Centerra Gold's historical news coverage. Centerra Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.37 and 8.51, respectively. We have considered Centerra Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Centerra Gold is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Centerra Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Centerra Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Centerra Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Centerra Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Centerra Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.62 | 0.02 | 0.12 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.96 | 5.94 | 0.34 |
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Centerra Gold Hype Timeline
Centerra Gold is currently traded for 5.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Centerra is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Centerra Gold is about 499.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.08. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Centerra Gold last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 25th of May 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Centerra Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Centerra Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Centerra Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Centerra Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Centerra Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Centerra Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (0.06) | 11 per month | 2.92 | (0.04) | 4.52 | (5.08) | 14.93 | |
| EGO | Eldorado Gold Corp | 0.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.39 | (4.76) | 12.12 | |
| OR | Osisko Gold Ro | 0.35 | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.06 | 2.94 | (2.93) | 10.04 | |
| SSRM | SSR Mining | 0.49 | 9 per month | 3.29 | 0.03 | 5.66 | (4.86) | 22.82 | |
| SAND | Sandstorm Gold Ltd | (0.42) | 8 per month | 2.41 | (0.0003) | 3.33 | (2.56) | 15.60 | |
| FNV | Franco Nevada | 3.05 | 9 per month | 1.72 | (0.06) | 2.46 | (2.61) | 8.26 | |
| RGLD | Royal Gold | 3.01 | 8 per month | 1.58 | (0) | 2.44 | (2.62) | 7.40 | |
| AGI | Alamos Gold | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.14 | (3.62) | 12.39 | |
| SA | Seabridge Gold | (0.95) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.31 | (5.22) | 17.19 | |
| DRD | DRDGOLD Limited ADR | 0.11 | 8 per month | 3.12 | 0.03 | 5.98 | (3.92) | 19.34 | |
| FSM | Fortuna Silver Mines | 0.18 | 9 per month | 3.15 | (0.01) | 4.66 | (5.13) | 17.32 |
Centerra Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Centerra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centerra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centerra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Centerra Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Centerra Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Centerra Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Centerra Gold based on analysis of Centerra Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Centerra Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Centerra Gold's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0197 | 0.0348 | 0.0356 | 0.0178 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.54 | 1.61 | 1.15 | 1.09 |
Story Coverage note for Centerra Gold
The number of cover stories for Centerra Gold depends on current market conditions and Centerra Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Centerra Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Centerra Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Centerra Gold Short Properties
Centerra Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Centerra Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Centerra Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Centerra Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centerra Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 218.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 615.8 M |
Additional Tools for Centerra Stock Analysis
When running Centerra Gold's price analysis, check to measure Centerra Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centerra Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Centerra Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centerra Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centerra Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centerra Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.