Cogstate (Australia) Performance
| CGS Stock | 2.37 0.17 7.73% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.58, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cogstate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Cogstate is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Cogstate has a negative expected return of -0.0649%. Please make sure to confirm Cogstate's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Cogstate performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Cogstate has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Cogstate is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0084 | Payout Ratio 0.2857 | Last Split Factor 1.006:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.02 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-08-27 |
1 | Australias Cogstate tumbles most in nearly 7 years on weak outlook - TradingView | 12/09/2025 |
2 | Heres Why Cogstate Has Caught The Eye Of Investors - Yahoo Finance | 01/19/2026 |
3 | Exploring 3 High Growth Tech Stocks in Australia - Yahoo Finance Canada | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 30.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -2.2 M |
Cogstate |
Cogstate Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 258.00 in Cogstate on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (21.00) from holding Cogstate or give up 8.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cogstate is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.8854% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 34% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Cogstate, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Cogstate Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Cogstate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.37 | 90 days | 2.37 | about 27.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cogstate to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.43 (This Cogstate probability density function shows the probability of Cogstate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Cogstate Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cogstate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cogstate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cogstate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cogstate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cogstate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cogstate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cogstate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Cogstate Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cogstate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cogstate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cogstate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cogstate has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cogstate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Exploring 3 High Growth Tech Stocks in Australia - Yahoo Finance Canada |
Cogstate Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cogstate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cogstate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cogstate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 174 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.6 M |
Cogstate Fundamentals Growth
Cogstate Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cogstate, and Cogstate fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cogstate Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.22 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 345.9 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 171.55 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.51 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.07 X | ||||
| Revenue | 50.81 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 31.66 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 16.93 M | ||||
| Net Income | 10.14 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 23.19 M | ||||
| Total Debt | 638.9 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.43 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 11.48 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.09 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 64.77 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 5.76 M | ||||
About Cogstate Performance
Assessing Cogstate's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Cogstate's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Cogstate is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Cogstate is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange.Things to note about Cogstate performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cogstate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cogstate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cogstate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cogstate has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cogstate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Exploring 3 High Growth Tech Stocks in Australia - Yahoo Finance Canada |
- Analyzing Cogstate's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cogstate's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Cogstate's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Cogstate's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cogstate's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cogstate's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cogstate's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Cogstate Stock Analysis
When running Cogstate's price analysis, check to measure Cogstate's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cogstate is operating at the current time. Most of Cogstate's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cogstate's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cogstate's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cogstate to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.