Cogstate (Australia) Price Patterns
| CGS Stock | 2.20 0.02 0.92% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.143 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0934 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1187 | Wall Street Target Price 3.025 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 |
Using Cogstate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cogstate from the perspective of Cogstate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cogstate to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cogstate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cogstate after-hype prediction price | AUD 2.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cogstate |
Cogstate After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cogstate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cogstate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cogstate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cogstate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cogstate's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cogstate's historical news coverage. Cogstate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.96, respectively. We have considered Cogstate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cogstate is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cogstate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cogstate Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cogstate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cogstate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cogstate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 3.79 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
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Cogstate Hype Timeline
Cogstate is currently traded for 2.20on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Cogstate is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cogstate is about 994.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.14. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2025. Cogstate had 1.006:1 split on the 6th of August 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Cogstate Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cogstate Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cogstate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cogstate's future price movements. Getting to know how Cogstate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cogstate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATM | Aneka Tambang TBK | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.14 | (0.03) | 4.17 | (6.06) | 11.36 | |
| BHP | BHP Group | (1.27) | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.21 | 2.73 | (2.90) | 8.42 | |
| RIO | RIO Tinto | (0.1) | 8 per month | 1.97 | 0.12 | 2.57 | (3.23) | 10.19 | |
| CBAPI | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.20 | (0.35) | 0.41 | (0.44) | 1.22 | |
| CBAPJ | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.51) | 0.23 | (0.25) | 1.08 | |
| CBAPH | Commonwealth Bank of | 0 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBA | Commonwealth Bank of | (1.30) | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.12 | 2.30 | (1.68) | 8.24 |
Cogstate Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cogstate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cogstate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cogstate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cogstate Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cogstate stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cogstate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cogstate based on analysis of Cogstate hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cogstate's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cogstate's related companies.
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Additional Tools for Cogstate Stock Analysis
When running Cogstate's price analysis, check to measure Cogstate's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cogstate is operating at the current time. Most of Cogstate's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cogstate's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cogstate's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cogstate to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.