Check Point Software Stock Performance

CHKP Stock  USD 180.91  4.66  2.64%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.89, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Check Point returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Check Point is expected to follow. At this point, Check Point Software has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Check Point's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Check Point Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Check Point Software has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest uncertain performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.64
Five Day Return
1.51
Year To Date Return
(0.07)
Ten Year Return
135.22
All Time Return
4.4 K
Last Split Factor
3:2
Last Split Date
2001-02-13
1
The AI Transformation Has Arrived. Now Comes the Hard Part Securing It
12/02/2025
2
Experts warn Chinese Ink Dragon hackers extend reach into European governments
12/17/2025
3
Check Point Software Technologies Valuation After China Restrictions And Renewed Analyst Optimism
01/16/2026
4
Seizert Capital Partners LLC Sells 7,230 Shares of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. CHKP - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
5
Check Point Launches AI Exposure Management As Shares Face Recent Pullback
01/22/2026
6
Check Point Software Technologies and Hendrick Motorsports Partner to Strengthen Cyber Security for Racing Operations
01/27/2026
7
Check Point Software Technologies Reaches New 52-Week Low Whats Next
01/29/2026
8
Is Check Point In Nasdaq Composite Shaping Network Security
02/04/2026
9
Italian university La Sapienza goes offline after cyberattack
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow537.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-24 M

Check Point Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  20,211  in Check Point Software on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,120) from holding Check Point Software or give up 10.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. Check Point Software is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.5821% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Check, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Check Point is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Check Point Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Check Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 180.91 90 days 180.91 
about 85.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Check Point to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.67 (This Check Point Software probability density function shows the probability of Check Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Check Point has a beta of 0.89 suggesting Check Point Software market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Check Point is expected to follow. Additionally Check Point Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Check Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Check Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Check Point Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
179.79181.37182.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
162.82203.95205.53
Details
39 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
202.67222.71247.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.492.622.83
Details

Check Point Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Check Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Check Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Check Point Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Check Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
6.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Check Point Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Check Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Check Point Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check Point Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check Point Software has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from bleepingcomputer.com: Italian university La Sapienza goes offline after cyberattack

Check Point Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Check Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Check Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Check Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding113.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Check Point Fundamentals Growth

Check Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Check Point, and Check Point fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Check Stock performance.

About Check Point Performance

Assessing Check Point's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Check Point's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Check Point is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.25  0.21 
Return On Capital Employed 0.26  0.25 
Return On Assets 0.17  0.19 
Return On Equity 0.35  0.26 

Things to note about Check Point Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Check Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Check Point Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check Point Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check Point Software has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from bleepingcomputer.com: Italian university La Sapienza goes offline after cyberattack
Evaluating Check Point's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Check Point's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Check Point's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Check Point's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Check Point's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Check Point's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Check Point's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Check Point's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Check Point's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Check Point's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Check Point's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Check Stock Analysis

When running Check Point's price analysis, check to measure Check Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Check Point is operating at the current time. Most of Check Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Check Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Check Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Check Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.