Check Point Software Stock Price Patterns
| CHKP Stock | USD 180.91 4.66 2.64% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.789 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.8831 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.2678 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.4827 | Wall Street Target Price 222.7107 |
Using Check Point hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Check Point Software from the perspective of Check Point response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Check Point using Check Point's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Check using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Check Point's stock price.
Check Point Short Interest
An investor who is long Check Point may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Check Point and may potentially protect profits, hedge Check Point with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 201.2411 | Short Percent 0.0756 | Short Ratio 6.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.6 M | 50 Day MA 186.3384 |
Check Point Software Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Check Point's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Check. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Check can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Check Point Software. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Check Point's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Check Point.
Check Point Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Check Point's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Check Point Software stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Check Point's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Check Point stock will not fluctuate a lot when Check Point's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Check Point to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Check because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Check Point after-hype prediction price | USD 180.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Check contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Check Point Software will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Check Point trading at USD 180.91, that is roughly USD 0.043 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Check Point's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Check Point Software options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Check Point Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Check Point After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Check Point at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Check Point or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Check Point, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Check Point Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Check Point's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Check Point's historical news coverage. Check Point's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 178.72 and 181.92, respectively. We have considered Check Point's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Check Point is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Check Point Software is based on 3 months time horizon.
Check Point Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Check Point is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Check Point backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Check Point, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.60 | 0.59 | 0.07 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
180.91 | 180.32 | 0.33 |
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Check Point Hype Timeline
Check Point Software is currently traded for 180.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Check is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 180.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 46.24%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Check Point is about 386.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 180.84. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.16. Check Point Software recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.12. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 13th of February 2001. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Check Point Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Check Point Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Check Point's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Check Point's future price movements. Getting to know how Check Point's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Check Point may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRSN | VeriSign | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.87 | (2.96) | 6.57 | |
| GDDY | Godaddy | (2.03) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 1.77 | (3.48) | 8.41 | |
| CPAY | Corpay Inc | 2.42 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.15 | 4.46 | (3.06) | 11.04 | |
| TOST | Toast Inc | 0.68 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.96 | (4.48) | 19.86 | |
| SSNC | SSC Technologies Holdings | 0.52 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.74 | (2.13) | 13.44 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | (0.74) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.61 | (3.34) | 8.61 | |
| FFIV | F5 Networks | (4.85) | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.04 | 3.75 | (2.45) | 11.43 | |
| GEN | Gen Digital | (0.37) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.26 | (3.59) | 9.21 | |
| NTNX | Nutanix | 0.23 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.99 | (5.66) | 21.74 | |
| IOT | Samsara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.36 | (5.85) | 19.39 |
Check Point Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Check price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Check using various technical indicators. When you analyze Check charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Check Point Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Check Point stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Check Point Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Check Point based on analysis of Check Point hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Check Point's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Check Point's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 99.42 | 103.71 | 93.34 | 75.86 | PTB Ratio | 6.33 | 7.4 | 8.51 | 8.9 |
Pair Trading with Check Point
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Check Point position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Check Point will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Check Stock
| 0.74 | S | SentinelOne | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | ZS | Zscaler | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | NOW | ServiceNow | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | GTLB | Gitlab Inc | PairCorr |
Moving against Check Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Check Point could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Check Point when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Check Point - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Check Point Software to buy it.
The correlation of Check Point is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Check Point moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Check Point Software moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Check Point can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Check Stock Analysis
When running Check Point's price analysis, check to measure Check Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Check Point is operating at the current time. Most of Check Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Check Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Check Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Check Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.