Ciena Corp Stock Performance
| CIEN Stock | USD 353.73 5.03 1.44% |
Ciena Corp holds a performance score of 20 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.84, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ciena Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ciena Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Use Ciena Corp potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to analyze future returns on Ciena Corp.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ciena Corp are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak technical and fundamental indicators, Ciena Corp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.44 | Five Day Return 2.24 | Year To Date Return 43.76 | Ten Year Return 1.6 K | All Time Return 173.15 |
Last Split Factor 1:7 | Last Split Date 2006-09-25 |
1 | Disposition of 6800 shares by Gary Smith of Ciena Corp at 233.4622 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/22/2025 |
2 | Is Corning Stock a Smart Buy Ahead of Q4 Earnings Release | 01/21/2026 |
3 | Telekom Srbija and Mtel Deploy Ciena Optical Technology to Improve Cross-Border Connectivity | 01/29/2026 |
4 | Disposition of 2952 shares by Gary Smith of Ciena Corp at 265.6018 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/02/2026 |
5 | Ciena Announces Reporting Date and Web Broadcast for Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Results | 02/05/2026 |
6 | Why Ciena is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term | 02/10/2026 |
7 | Ciena Fueling Digital Transformation In Russell 1000 ETF | 02/11/2026 |
8 | Should First Trust Mid Cap Growth AlphaDEX ETF Be on Your Investing Radar | 02/13/2026 |
9 | Optical Transport Market Grew to 16 Billion in 2025, According to DellOro Group | 02/18/2026 |
10 | Is It Too Late To Consider Ciena After Its 1-Year 257 percent Surge | 02/19/2026 |
11 | Munro Portfolio Managers Global Investment Strategy | 02/20/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 934.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -241.5 M |
Ciena Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 19,335 in Ciena Corp on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 16,038 from holding Ciena Corp or generate 82.95% return on investment over 90 days. Ciena Corp is currently generating 1.104% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.3076% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 38% of stocks are less volatile than Ciena, and 78% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Ciena Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Ciena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 353.73 | 90 days | 353.73 | about 1.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ciena Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.06 (This Ciena Corp probability density function shows the probability of Ciena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Ciena Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ciena Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ciena Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ciena Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ciena Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ciena Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ciena Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ciena Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ciena Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 44.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Ciena Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ciena Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ciena Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ciena Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ciena Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ciena Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finnewsnetwork.com.au: Munro Portfolio Managers Global Investment Strategy |
Ciena Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ciena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ciena Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ciena Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 145.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Ciena Corp Fundamentals Growth
Ciena Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ciena Corp, and Ciena Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ciena Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0445 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0338 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 49.65 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 141.46 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 34.45 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 18.07 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 10.34 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.77 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 387.49 M | ||||
| Net Income | 123.34 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.18 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 7.98 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.58 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.48 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 19.36 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 806.09 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.84 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 49.33 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.86 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (3.17 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 2.26 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 2.01 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 891.86 M | ||||
About Ciena Corp Performance
By examining Ciena Corp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Ciena Corp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Ciena Corp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 62.96 | 67.32 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.10 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | 0.15 |
Things to note about Ciena Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ciena Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ciena Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ciena Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ciena Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ciena Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finnewsnetwork.com.au: Munro Portfolio Managers Global Investment Strategy |
- Analyzing Ciena Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ciena Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Ciena Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Ciena Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ciena Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ciena Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ciena Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ciena Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. To learn how to invest in Ciena Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ciena Corp guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Will Communications Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Ciena diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ciena Corp. Projected growth potential of Ciena fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ciena Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 0.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Ciena Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Ciena Corp's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Ciena Corp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ciena Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ciena Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Ciena Corp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.