Cipher Mining Stock Performance

CIFR Stock  USD 14.73  2.03  15.98%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.84, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cipher Mining will likely underperform. At this point, Cipher Mining has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm Cipher Mining's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Cipher Mining performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cipher Mining has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest fragile performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
15.98
Five Day Return
(4.60)
Year To Date Return
(9.07)
Ten Year Return
48.79
All Time Return
48.79
1
Disposition of 50801 shares by V3 Holding Ltd of Cipher Mining at 12.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
2
2 Stocks That Can Turn 100,000 Into 1 Million by 2035
12/17/2025
3
A Look At Cipher Mining Valuation After Bitcoin Rally Lifts Mining Stocks
01/14/2026
4
Insider Selling Cipher Mining COO Sells 631,687.68 in Stock
01/23/2026
5
Cipher Mining Jumps 13.7 percent as Tech Giants Pour More Funds Into AI
01/28/2026
6
Keefe Bruyette Boosts Cipher Mining PT, Cites Transition Into AI Infrastructure, HPC Colocation
01/30/2026
7
How Is The Market Feeling About Cipher Mining Inc - Benzinga
02/02/2026
8
Cipher Mining Inc. Announces Proposed Offering of 2.00 Billion of Senior Secured Notes
02/03/2026
9
Cipher Mining subsidiary prices 2B senior secured notes offering
02/04/2026
10
Cipher Mining prices 2 billion note offering for Texas data center expansion
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow86.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-192.1 M

Cipher Mining Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,867  in Cipher Mining on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (394.00) from holding Cipher Mining or give up 21.1% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cipher Mining is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.8297% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 61% of stocks are less volatile than Cipher, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cipher Mining is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.46 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Cipher Mining Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cipher Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.73 90 days 14.73 
about 85.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cipher Mining to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.92 (This Cipher Mining probability density function shows the probability of Cipher Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.84 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cipher Mining will likely underperform. Additionally Cipher Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cipher Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cipher Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cipher Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7014.5321.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6917.5224.35
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.0627.5430.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.120.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cipher Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cipher Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cipher Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cipher Mining.

Cipher Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cipher Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cipher Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cipher Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cipher Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.84
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Cipher Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cipher Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cipher Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cipher Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cipher Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 151.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 70.15 M.
Cipher Mining currently holds about 37.04 M in cash with (87.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.
Cipher Mining has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cipher Mining prices 2 billion note offering for Texas data center expansion

Cipher Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cipher Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cipher Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cipher Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding323.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.6 M

Cipher Mining Fundamentals Growth

Cipher Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cipher Mining, and Cipher Mining fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cipher Stock performance.

About Cipher Mining Performance

Assessing Cipher Mining's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Cipher Mining's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Cipher Mining is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 315.77  299.98 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Capital Employed(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.06)(0.06)

Things to note about Cipher Mining performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cipher Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cipher Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cipher Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cipher Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 151.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 70.15 M.
Cipher Mining currently holds about 37.04 M in cash with (87.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.
Cipher Mining has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cipher Mining prices 2 billion note offering for Texas data center expansion
Evaluating Cipher Mining's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cipher Mining's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cipher Mining's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cipher Mining's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cipher Mining's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cipher Mining's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cipher Mining's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cipher Mining's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cipher Mining's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cipher Mining's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cipher Mining's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Cipher Stock Analysis

When running Cipher Mining's price analysis, check to measure Cipher Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cipher Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Cipher Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cipher Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cipher Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cipher Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.