Cipher Mining Stock Price Prediction
| CIFR Stock | USD 17.57 0.18 1.04% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.195 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1467 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.34 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.49 | Wall Street Target Price 26.6786 |
Using Cipher Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cipher Mining from the perspective of Cipher Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cipher Mining using Cipher Mining's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cipher using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cipher Mining's stock price.
Cipher Mining Short Interest
An investor who is long Cipher Mining may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cipher Mining and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cipher Mining with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.3175 | Short Percent 0.167 | Short Ratio 1.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 59.1 M | 50 Day MA 16.9112 |
Cipher Mining Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cipher Mining's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cipher. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cipher can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cipher Mining. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cipher Mining's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cipher Mining.
Cipher Mining Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
Cipher Mining's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cipher Mining stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cipher Mining's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cipher Mining stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cipher Mining's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cipher Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cipher because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cipher Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 17.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cipher contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cipher Mining will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Cipher Mining trading at USD 17.57, that is roughly USD 0.0126 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cipher Mining's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cipher Mining options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Cipher Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Cipher Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cipher Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cipher Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cipher Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cipher Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cipher Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cipher Mining's historical news coverage. Cipher Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.84 and 24.20, respectively. We have considered Cipher Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cipher Mining is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cipher Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cipher Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cipher Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cipher Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cipher Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 6.68 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.57 | 17.52 | 0.28 |
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Cipher Mining Hype Timeline
Cipher Mining is currently traded for 17.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Cipher is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Cipher Mining is about 1258.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.55. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.17. Cipher Mining had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Cipher Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cipher Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cipher Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cipher Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Cipher Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cipher Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RIOT | Riot Blockchain | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.37 | (8.13) | 22.04 | |
| WULF | Terawulf | 4.58 | 17 per month | 5.88 | 0.02 | 10.37 | (9.48) | 30.36 | |
| FRHC | Freedom Holding Corp | (7.18) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.26 | (4.04) | 8.46 | |
| XP | Xp Inc | 0.43 | 8 per month | 2.88 | 0.07 | 4.64 | (4.83) | 15.10 | |
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies | (0.54) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.27 | (10.47) | 32.25 | |
| GLXY | Galaxy Digital Holdings | 0.49 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.10 | (10.42) | 23.29 | |
| MORN | Morningstar | (4.71) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.00 | (2.32) | 6.36 | |
| SSB | SouthState | (0.33) | 4 per month | 1.11 | 0.01 | 2.93 | (1.54) | 5.16 | |
| UWMC | UWM Holdings Corp | 0.07 | 32 per month | 3.44 | 0.02 | 6.11 | (5.19) | 19.21 | |
| JEF | Jefferies Financial Group | 1.80 | 9 per month | 2.15 | 0.08 | 2.87 | (4.66) | 11.46 |
Cipher Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cipher price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cipher using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cipher charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cipher Mining Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cipher Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cipher Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cipher Mining based on analysis of Cipher Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cipher Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cipher Mining's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 10.1 | 5.43 | 4.88 | 3.12 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 239.26 | 274.58 | 315.77 | 299.98 |
Pair Trading with Cipher Mining
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cipher Mining position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cipher Mining will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Cipher Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cipher Mining could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cipher Mining when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cipher Mining - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cipher Mining to buy it.
The correlation of Cipher Mining is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cipher Mining moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cipher Mining moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cipher Mining can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Cipher Stock Analysis
When running Cipher Mining's price analysis, check to measure Cipher Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cipher Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Cipher Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cipher Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cipher Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cipher Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.