Cenovus Energy Stock Performance

CVE Stock  CAD 26.88  0.43  1.63%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Cenovus Energy holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cenovus Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Cenovus Energy is likely to outperform the market. Please check Cenovus Energy's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Cenovus Energy's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cenovus Energy are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Cenovus Energy displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0302
Payout Ratio
0.4216
Forward Dividend Rate
0.8
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Cenovus Energy Growth Trends in the S and P TSX Index - Kalkine Media
11/25/2025
2
RBC Capital Sticks to Its Buy Rating for Cenovus Energy - The Globe and Mail
12/16/2025
3
Cenovus Energy Stock Quiet Consolidation While Energy Macro Clouds Thicken - AD HOC NEWS
12/23/2025
4
TD Securities Raises Cenovus Energy Price Target After Review - Yahoo Finance UK
12/29/2025
5
Analyst reinstates coverage of Cenovus Energy with buy rating - MSN
01/07/2026
6
Stocks with rising relative strength Cenovus Energy - MSN
01/14/2026
7
The Truth About Cenovus Energy Quiet Oil Stock That Might Clap Back in 2026 - AD HOC NEWS
01/19/2026
8
The Truth About Cenovus Energy Is This Oil Stock Still Worth the Hype - AD HOC NEWS
01/22/2026
9
Why Is Everyone Talking About Cenovus Energy Stock all of a Sudden - Yahoo Finance Canada
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow2.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.1 B
  

Cenovus Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,351  in Cenovus Energy on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  337.00  from holding Cenovus Energy or generate 14.33% return on investment over 90 days. Cenovus Energy is generating 0.2417% of daily returns assuming 2.1118% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 18% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Cenovus Energy, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cenovus Energy is expected to generate 2.8 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Cenovus Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Cenovus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.88 90 days 26.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cenovus Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cenovus Energy probability density function shows the probability of Cenovus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cenovus Energy has a beta of -0.27 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cenovus Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cenovus Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cenovus Energy has an alpha of 0.2183, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cenovus Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cenovus Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cenovus Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7226.8328.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4221.5329.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9927.1029.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.410.220.51
Details

Cenovus Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cenovus Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cenovus Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cenovus Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cenovus Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Cenovus Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cenovus Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cenovus Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cenovus Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cenovus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cenovus Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cenovus Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

Cenovus Energy Fundamentals Growth

Cenovus Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cenovus Energy, and Cenovus Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cenovus Stock performance.

About Cenovus Energy Performance

By examining Cenovus Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Cenovus Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Cenovus Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 30.36  23.45 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.08 

Things to note about Cenovus Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cenovus Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cenovus Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Cenovus Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cenovus Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cenovus Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cenovus Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cenovus Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cenovus Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cenovus Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cenovus Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cenovus Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cenovus Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cenovus Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Cenovus Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cenovus Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cenovus Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cenovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cenovus Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Cenovus Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cenovus Energy guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
It's important to distinguish between Cenovus Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cenovus Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cenovus Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.