Cenovus Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CVE Stock  CAD 21.78  0.40  1.80%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Cenovus Energy is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Cenovus Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Cenovus Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Cenovus Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cenovus Energy guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cenovus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cenovus Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Cenovus Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Cenovus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cenovus Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cenovus Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cenovus Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cenovus EnergyBuy Cenovus Energy
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Cenovus Energy has a Mean Deviation of 1.39, Standard Deviation of 1.8 and Variance of 3.25
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Cenovus Energy. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Cenovus Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Cenovus Energy fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, ebitda, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share .

Cenovus Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cenovus Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Where Will Cenovus Stock Be in 135 Years - MSN

Cenovus Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cenovus Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cenovus Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cenovus Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cenovus Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cenovus Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cenovus Energy.
Mean Return
-0.18
Value At Risk
-3.41
Potential Upside
2.61
Standard Deviation
1.80
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cenovus Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cenovus Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(595M)192M2.5B1.7B(2.3B)(2.2B)
Free Cash Flow2.1B(586M)3.4B7.6B3.1B3.2B
Other Non Cash Items389M106M524M(1.0B)9.5B10.0B
Capital Expenditures1.2B859M2.6B3.8B4.3B2.6B
Net Income2.2B(2.4B)587M6.5B4.1B4.3B
End Period Cash Flow186M378M2.9B4.5B2.2B1.7B
Dividends Paid260M77M210M927M1.0B530.1M
Depreciation2.2B2.3B4.3B4.4B4.8B2.5B
Investments(1.4B)(863M)17M(2.3B)(5.2B)(4.9B)
Net Borrowings(2.2B)914M(2.0B)(4.4B)(4.0B)(3.8B)
Change To Netincome(868M)(581M)2.4B(111M)(127.7M)(134.0M)

Cenovus Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cenovus Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cenovus Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cenovus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Cenovus Energy Volatility Alert

Cenovus Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.35 and kurtosis of 0.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cenovus Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cenovus Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cenovus Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cenovus Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cenovus Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cenovus Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cenovus Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cenovus Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cenovus Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cenovus Energy to competition
FundamentalsCenovus EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0576-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation48.67 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.83 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders32.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions51.07 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted18.45 M4.71 M
Price To Earning10.52 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.42 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.74 X11.42 X
Revenue52.2 B9.43 B
Gross Profit16 B27.38 B
EBITDA10.27 B3.9 B
Net Income4.11 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.69 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.91 X5.01 X
Total Debt9.95 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.54 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.73 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.39 B971.22 M
Short Ratio5.13 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.99 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.28 X4.89 X
Target Price31.53
Number Of Employees6.92 K18.84 K
Beta2.62-0.15
Market Capitalization41.32 B19.03 B
Total Asset53.91 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.91 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.5 B1.48 B

Cenovus Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cenovus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cenovus Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cenovus Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Cenovus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cenovus Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Restaurants Thematic Idea Now

Restaurants
Restaurants Theme
Entities that are involved in restaurant business, as well as coffee shop chains and other eateries. The Restaurants theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cenovus Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cenovus Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cenovus Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cenovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cenovus Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Cenovus Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cenovus Energy guide.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cenovus Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cenovus Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cenovus Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.