Carvana Co Stock Performance

CVNA Stock  USD 342.87  1.27  0.37%   
Carvana has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.63, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carvana will likely underperform. Carvana right now shows a risk of 4.03%. Please confirm Carvana semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Carvana will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Carvana Co are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat uncertain basic indicators, Carvana may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.37)
Five Day Return
(14.41)
Year To Date Return
(14.34)
Ten Year Return
K
All Time Return
K
1
Online car shopping fuels a bigger runway for Carvana
01/15/2026
2
CVNA BREAKING INVESTIGATION BFA Law Launches Investigation into Carvana Co. after Gotham City Report Leads to 20 percent Stock Drop -- Investors Notified to Con...
01/28/2026
3
CARVANA ALERT Bragar Eagel Squire, P.C. is Investigating Carvana Co. on Behalf of Carvana Stockholders and Encourages Investors to Contact the Firm
01/30/2026
4
CARVANA STOCK NOTICE Carvana Co. Investigated for Misleading Investors BFA Law Notifies Investors to Contact the Firm
02/03/2026
5
Carvana Co. ABullCase Theory
02/04/2026
6
Investors Heavily Search Carvana Co. Here is What You Need to Know
02/05/2026
7
Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Carvana Stock Will Climb or Sink
02/10/2026
8
Will Carvanas Eugene Same-Day Expansion and Short-Seller Response Change Its Investment Narrative
02/11/2026
9
CARVANA INVESTIGATION ALERT Bragar Eagel Squire, P.C. Continues Investigating Carvana Co. on Behalf of Carvana Stockholders and Urges Investors to Contact the F...
02/12/2026
10
1 Billion Accounting Questions Cloud Carvanas 44 percent Sales Surge
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow594 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13 M

Carvana Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  32,312  in Carvana Co on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,975  from holding Carvana Co or generate 6.11% return on investment over 90 days. Carvana Co is currently generating 0.1765% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0318% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Carvana, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Carvana is expected to generate 5.28 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Carvana Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Carvana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 342.87 90 days 342.87 
about 89.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carvana to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.83 (This Carvana Co probability density function shows the probability of Carvana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carvana will likely underperform. Additionally Carvana Co has an alpha of 0.0633, implying that it can generate a 0.0633 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Carvana Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carvana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carvana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
339.44343.51347.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
308.58395.37399.44
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
437.75481.05533.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.371.802.29
Details

Carvana Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carvana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carvana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carvana Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carvana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.63
σ
Overall volatility
51.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Carvana Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carvana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carvana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carvana had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 1 Billion Accounting Questions Cloud Carvanas 44 percent Sales Surge

Carvana Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carvana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carvana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carvana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Carvana Fundamentals Growth

Carvana Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Carvana, and Carvana fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Carvana Stock performance.

About Carvana Performance

By analyzing Carvana's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Carvana's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Carvana has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Carvana has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 61.57  120.59 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.16 

Things to note about Carvana performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Carvana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Carvana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carvana had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 1 Billion Accounting Questions Cloud Carvanas 44 percent Sales Surge
Evaluating Carvana's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Carvana's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Carvana's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Carvana's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Carvana's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Carvana's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Carvana's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Carvana's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Carvana's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Carvana's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Carvana's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Carvana Stock analysis

When running Carvana's price analysis, check to measure Carvana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carvana is operating at the current time. Most of Carvana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carvana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carvana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carvana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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