Carvana Co Stock Analysis

CVNA Stock  USD 259.36  10.98  4.42%   
Carvana Co is overvalued with Real Value of 219.39 and Target Price of 40.28. The main objective of Carvana stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Carvana Co is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Carvana's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Carvana stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Carvana's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Carvana Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Carvana Stock Analysis Notes

About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona. Carvana Co operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 21000 people. For more info on Carvana Co please contact Ernest Garcia at 602 922 9866 or go to https://www.carvana.com.

Carvana Quarterly Total Revenue

3.65 Billion

Carvana Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Carvana's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Carvana Co or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Carvana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: 4 Indicators to Keep on Top of Recession Worry

Carvana Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Carvana previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Carvana Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Carvana's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-05-08
2019-03-31-0.47-0.53-0.0612 
2019-02-27
2018-12-31-0.49-0.55-0.0612 
2020-10-29
2020-09-30-0.32-0.250.0721 
View All Earnings Estimates

Carvana Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Carvana's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Carvana's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Carvana's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Carvana's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Carvana Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Camelot Capital Partners Llc2024-06-30
2.2 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-06-30
M
State Street Corp2024-06-30
1.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.7 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
1.6 M
Kps Global Asset Management Uk Ltd2024-09-30
1.5 M
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
1.3 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
M
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
904.5 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
12.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
12.3 M
Note, although Carvana's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Carvana Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 29.05 B.

Carvana Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Equity 1.85  1.94 

Management Efficiency

Carvana has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0604 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0604 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 1.0714 %, meaning that it created $1.0714 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Carvana's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Carvana manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Carvana's Return On Tangible Assets are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Assets is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Return On Capital Employed is forecasted to decline to (0.01). At present, Carvana's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 3.9 B, whereas Net Tangible Assets are projected to grow to (502.7 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(3.51)(3.34)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(3.99)(3.79)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 10.32  10.84 
Price Book Value Ratio 23.82  15.78 
Enterprise Value Multiple 10.32  10.84 
Price Fair Value 23.82  15.78 
Enterprise Value15.4 B13.7 B
Leadership effectiveness at Carvana Co is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Operating Margin
0.0925
Profit Margin
0.0014
Beta
3.379
Return On Assets
0.0604
Return On Equity
1.0714

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Carvana shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1744, mean deviation of 2.12, and Downside Deviation of 2.69. Carvana technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Carvana Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Carvana middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Carvana. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Carvana Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Carvana insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Carvana's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Carvana insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Carvana Outstanding Bonds

Carvana issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Carvana uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Carvana bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Carvana Co has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Carvana Predictive Daily Indicators

Carvana intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Carvana stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Carvana Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
6th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
5th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
1st of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
30th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
25th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
24th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Carvana Forecast Models

Carvana's time-series forecasting models are one of many Carvana's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Carvana's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Carvana Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Carvana prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Carvana shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Carvana. By using and applying Carvana Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Carvana entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 

Current Carvana Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Carvana analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Carvana analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
40.28Buy24Odds
Carvana Co current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Carvana analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Carvana stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Carvana, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Carvana conference calls.
Carvana Analyst Advice Details

Carvana Stock Analysis Indicators

Carvana Co stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Carvana stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Carvana shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Carvana stock analysis, traders can identify Carvana position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow628 M
Long Term Debt5.4 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding200.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity243 M
Tax Provision25 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.822
Property Plant And Equipment Net3.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments896 M
Cash530 M
Accounts Payable224 M
Net Debt6.2 B
50 Day M A199.4468
Total Current Liabilities1.5 B
Other Operating Expenses10.8 B
Non Current Assets Total3.8 B
Forward Price Earnings123.4568
Non Currrent Assets Other261 M
Stock Based Compensation73 M

Complementary Tools for Carvana Stock analysis

When running Carvana's price analysis, check to measure Carvana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carvana is operating at the current time. Most of Carvana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carvana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carvana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carvana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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