Endava Stock Performance
| DAVA Stock | USD 6.30 0.30 4.55% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.13, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Endava returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Endava is expected to follow. At this point, Endava has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to confirm Endava's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Endava performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Endava has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.55) | Five Day Return (7.49) | Year To Date Return 3.45 | Ten Year Return (75.00) | All Time Return (75.00) |
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6 | Paradice Investment Management LLC Grows Stock Holdings in Endava PLC Sponsored ADR DAVA - MarketBeat | 12/30/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 62.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -9.9 M |
Endava Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 886.00 in Endava on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (256.00) from holding Endava or give up 28.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Endava is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.523% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 40% of stocks are less volatile than Endava, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Endava Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Endava Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.30 | 90 days | 6.30 | about 76.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Endava to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.91 (This Endava probability density function shows the probability of Endava Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 suggesting Endava market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Endava is expected to follow. Additionally Endava has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Endava Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Endava
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endava. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Endava's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Endava Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Endava is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Endava's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Endava, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Endava within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Endava Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Endava for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Endava can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Endava generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Endava has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Endava Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Endava Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Endava's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endava's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.5 M |
Endava Fundamentals Growth
Endava Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Endava, and Endava fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Endava Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0181 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0194 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 618.23 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 39.4 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 40.83 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.44 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.45 X | |||
| Revenue | 772.25 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 187.11 M | |||
| EBITDA | 67.46 M | |||
| Net Income | 21.21 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 182.4 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 3.28 X | |||
| Total Debt | 228.05 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.13 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.67 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 14.82 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 52.77 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.23 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 342.26 M | |||
| Total Asset | 935.77 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | 575.43 M | |||
| Working Capital | 160.13 M | |||
| Current Asset | 78.57 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 69.59 M | |||
About Endava Performance
By analyzing Endava's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Endava's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Endava has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Endava has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (11.36) | (10.79) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Things to note about Endava performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Endava for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Endava help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Endava generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Endava has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
- Analyzing Endava's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Endava's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Endava's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Endava's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Endava's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Endava's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Endava's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Endava Stock analysis
When running Endava's price analysis, check to measure Endava's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Endava is operating at the current time. Most of Endava's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Endava's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Endava's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Endava to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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