Endava Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DAVA Stock  USD 28.67  0.19  0.67%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Endava is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Endava buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Endava positions.
  
Check out Endava Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Endava Stock refer to our How to Trade Endava Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Endava and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Endava. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Endava Buy or Sell Advice

The Endava recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Endava. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Endava or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Endava's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell EndavaBuy Endava
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Endava has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.002, Jensen Alpha of (0.22), Total Risk Alpha of (0.53) and Treynor Ratio of (0.02)
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Endava. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Endava is not overpriced, please confirm all Endava fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Endava has a price to earning of 40.83 X, we urge you to verify Endava market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Endava Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Endava generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Endava has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Endava Coverage Initiated at Bank of America

Endava Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Endava's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Endava's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Endava daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Endava price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Endava returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Endava.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-4.81
Potential Upside
6.11
Standard Deviation
3.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Endava historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Endava Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Bamco Inc2024-09-30
851.6 K
Ensign Peak Advisors Inc2024-09-30
840.1 K
Grandeur Peak Global Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
803.3 K
Df Dent & Co Inc2024-06-30
758.2 K
Paradice Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
749.2 K
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
601.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
571 K
Fidelity International Ltd2024-06-30
540.7 K
Rathbone Brothers Plc2024-06-30
431.1 K
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
3.1 M
Note, although Endava's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Endava Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash31.2M(31.4M)92.9M1.9M(102.3M)(97.2M)
Free Cash Flow30.4M82.2M106.8M110.8M48.9M43.9M
Depreciation18.7M25.1M29.0M32.9M38.9M40.9M
Other Non Cash Items(11.6M)5.8M(23.9M)(37.6M)(21.8M)(20.7M)
Capital Expenditures9.9M6.1M14.0M13.7M5.5M7.0M
Net Income21.4M43.4M83.1M94.2M17.1M33.2M
End Period Cash Flow101.3M69.9M162.8M164.7M62.4M66.0M
Investments(29.7M)(107.1M)(23.9M)(110.9M)(290.3M)(275.8M)
Net Borrowings(10.2M)(11.3M)(13.2M)(13.0M)(11.7M)(11.2M)
Change To Netincome7.9M42.8M19.6M13.4M15.4M10.7M

Endava Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Endava or IT Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Endava's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Endava stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.58
σ
Overall volatility
3.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Endava Volatility Alert

Endava exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 0.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Endava's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Endava's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Endava Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Endava's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Endava's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Endava and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Endava or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Endava's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Endava by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Endava to competition
FundamentalsEndavaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0283-0.31
Return On Asset0.024-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.87 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding45.38 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.57 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.13 M4.71 M
Price To Earning40.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.30 X11.42 X
Revenue740.76 M9.43 B
Gross Profit269.58 M27.38 B
EBITDA72.19 M3.9 B
Net Income17.12 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents182.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.28 X5.01 X
Total Debt202.76 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.13 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations54.39 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.60 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.15 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.99 X4.89 X
Target Price29.48
Number Of Employees12.09 K18.84 K
Beta1.22-0.15
Market Capitalization1.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.01 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings573.64 M9.33 B
Working Capital113.76 M1.48 B

Endava Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Endava . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Endava Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Endava? Buying financial instruments such as Endava Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Endava in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long/short ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Endava offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Endava's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Endava Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Endava Stock:
Check out Endava Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Endava Stock refer to our How to Trade Endava Stock guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Endava. If investors know Endava will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Endava listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Earnings Share
0.15
Revenue Per Share
12.702
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.024
Return On Equity
0.0283
The market value of Endava is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Endava that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Endava's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Endava's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Endava's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Endava's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Endava's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Endava is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Endava's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.