Dropbox Stock Performance
| DBX Stock | USD 25.11 0.55 2.14% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dropbox's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dropbox is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Dropbox has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Dropbox's variance, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and day typical price , to decide if Dropbox performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Dropbox has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.14) | Five Day Return (2.64) | Year To Date Return (6.76) | Ten Year Return (11.83) | All Time Return (11.83) |
1 | Dropbox, DigitalOcean, and Zeta Global Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 1168 shares by Sarah Schubach of Dropbox at 29.43 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2025 |
3 | Dropbox CFO Timothy Regan Sells 1,500 Shares | 12/02/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 9167 shares by Andrew Houston of Dropbox at 30.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
5 | Insider Trading | 12/16/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 1168 shares by Sarah Schubach of Dropbox at 27.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/29/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 13305 shares by Andrew Houston of Dropbox at 27.5829 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 36182 shares by Andrew Houston of Dropbox at 27.5365 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
9 | A Look At Dropbox Valuation As Recent Share Momentum Cools | 01/12/2026 |
10 | Veteran Technology Executive Eric Cox Joins Restaurant365 as Chief Operating Officer | 01/14/2026 |
11 | Registered Temple Hills Sex Offender Admits Sharing Child Sex Abuse Material Online DOJ | 01/16/2026 |
12 | Dropbox, Inc. Sees Significant Increase in Short Interest | 01/20/2026 |
13 | Dropbox Valuation Questioned As Competition Rises And Guidance Turns Cautious | 01/22/2026 |
14 | How Stagnating Billings and Margin Pressure Could Reshape Dropboxs Investment Narrative | 01/26/2026 |
15 | Disposition of 1462 shares by Sarah Schubach of Dropbox at 25.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/30/2026 |
16 | Assessing Whether Dropbox Looks Undervalued After Recent Share Price Weakness | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 614.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 443.8 M |
Dropbox Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,867 in Dropbox on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (356.00) from holding Dropbox or give up 12.42% of portfolio value over 90 days. Dropbox is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.9047% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Dropbox, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Dropbox Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Dropbox Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 25.11 | 90 days | 25.11 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dropbox to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Dropbox probability density function shows the probability of Dropbox Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Dropbox Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dropbox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dropbox. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dropbox Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dropbox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dropbox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dropbox, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dropbox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Dropbox Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dropbox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dropbox can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dropbox generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dropbox has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Assessing Whether Dropbox Looks Undervalued After Recent Share Price Weakness |
Dropbox Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dropbox Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dropbox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dropbox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 323.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Dropbox Fundamentals Growth
Dropbox Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dropbox, and Dropbox fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dropbox Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.16 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.20 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.28 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.76 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 174.42 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 24.28 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 29.81 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.60 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.55 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.04 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 623.6 M | ||||
| Net Income | 452.3 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.45 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.04 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 3.35 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.40 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (5.99) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 894.1 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.76 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 6.57 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.33 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (3.15 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 527.6 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 441.52 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 638.97 M | ||||
About Dropbox Performance
Evaluating Dropbox's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Dropbox has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dropbox has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.14 | 0.15 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.21 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.12 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.69) | (0.73) |
Things to note about Dropbox performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dropbox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dropbox help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dropbox generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dropbox has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Assessing Whether Dropbox Looks Undervalued After Recent Share Price Weakness |
- Analyzing Dropbox's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dropbox's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Dropbox's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Dropbox's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dropbox's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dropbox's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dropbox's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Dropbox Stock Analysis
When running Dropbox's price analysis, check to measure Dropbox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dropbox is operating at the current time. Most of Dropbox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dropbox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dropbox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dropbox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.