Dropbox Stock Technical Analysis
| DBX Stock | USD 24.44 0.67 2.67% |
As of the 5th of February, Dropbox shows the Variance of 3.62, mean deviation of 1.33, and Standard Deviation of 1.9. Dropbox technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
Dropbox Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Dropbox, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to DropboxDropbox's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Dropbox Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 28.57 | Hold | 12 | Odds |
Most Dropbox analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Dropbox stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Dropbox, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Dropbox conference calls.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dropbox. Projected growth potential of Dropbox fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Dropbox assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.385 | Earnings Share 1.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Dropbox's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Dropbox's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Dropbox's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Dropbox's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Dropbox's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dropbox should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Dropbox's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Dropbox 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dropbox's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dropbox.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Dropbox on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dropbox or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dropbox over 90 days. Dropbox is related to or competes with WixCom, Match, Confluent, Klaviyo, Amdocs, Nice, and Bullish. Dropbox, Inc. provides a content collaboration platform worldwide More
Dropbox Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dropbox's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dropbox upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.45) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.53 |
Dropbox Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dropbox's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dropbox's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dropbox historical prices to predict the future Dropbox's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.62 |
Dropbox February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.63 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,129) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Variance | 3.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.62 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.45) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.53 | |||
| Skewness | 0.2596 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.25 |
Dropbox Backtested Returns
Dropbox secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.23, which denotes the company had a -0.23 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Dropbox exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dropbox's Standard Deviation of 1.9, mean deviation of 1.33, and Variance of 3.62 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dropbox are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dropbox is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Dropbox has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to confirm Dropbox's information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Dropbox performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.68 |
Good predictability
Dropbox has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dropbox time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dropbox price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Dropbox price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.68 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.76 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.08 |
Dropbox technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Dropbox Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Dropbox volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Dropbox Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Dropbox on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dropbox based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Dropbox price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Dropbox. By analyzing Dropbox's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Dropbox's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Dropbox specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 6.0 | 9.5 | 8.55 | 8.97 | Revenue Per Share | 7.33 | 8.01 | 7.21 | 3.86 |
Dropbox February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Dropbox help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dropbox from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Dropbox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.63 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,129) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Variance | 3.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.62 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.45) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.53 | |||
| Skewness | 0.2596 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.25 |
Dropbox February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dropbox stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 257,483 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.61) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 24.97 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 24.79 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.86) |
Additional Tools for Dropbox Stock Analysis
When running Dropbox's price analysis, check to measure Dropbox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dropbox is operating at the current time. Most of Dropbox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dropbox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dropbox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dropbox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.