Dlocal Stock Performance

DLO Stock  USD 13.18  0.36  2.81%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.95, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dlocal will likely underperform. At this point, Dlocal has a negative expected return of -0.0857%. Please make sure to confirm Dlocal's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Dlocal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Dlocal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Dlocal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.81
Five Day Return
(1.35)
Year To Date Return
(6.33)
Ten Year Return
(59.31)
All Time Return
(59.31)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0466
Payout Ratio
1.0876
Dividend Date
2025-06-10
Ex Dividend Date
2025-05-27
1
Tariffs, Inflation Hit DLocal Margins Stock Plunges
11/13/2025
2
Is DLocal Limited One of the Best Low Priced Technology Stocks to Buy According to Analysts
12/31/2025
3
What DLocal s Board Overhaul and New Committees Mean For Shareholders
01/05/2026
4
DLocal Limited Receives Consensus Recommendation of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
01/07/2026
5
Assessing DLocal Valuation After Board Changes CFO Appointment And Strong EBITDA Performance - simplywall.st
01/14/2026
6
Big Buying Opportunity In These 3 Cheap Growth Stocks
01/16/2026
7
dLocal to Report Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results
01/26/2026
8
Truist Maintains Buy Rating on DLocal Expecting Solid Q4 Performance Despite Challenging Volume Comparisons
01/30/2026
9
Is DLocals BNPL and Stablecoin Push Reinforcing Its CrossBorder Moat or Stretching It
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow536.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-17.8 M

Dlocal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,416  in Dlocal on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (98.00) from holding Dlocal or give up 6.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. Dlocal is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.4511% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Dlocal, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dlocal is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Dlocal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dlocal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.18 90 days 13.18 
about 84.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dlocal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.87 (This Dlocal probability density function shows the probability of Dlocal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dlocal will likely underperform. Additionally Dlocal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dlocal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dlocal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dlocal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7313.1815.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8615.7318.18
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3818.0019.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.220.23
Details

Dlocal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dlocal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dlocal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dlocal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dlocal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Dlocal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dlocal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dlocal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dlocal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dlocal has about 425.17 M in cash with (32.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.54.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is DLocals BNPL and Stablecoin Push Reinforcing Its CrossBorder Moat or Stretching It

Dlocal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dlocal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dlocal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dlocal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding305.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments330 M

Dlocal Fundamentals Growth

Dlocal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dlocal, and Dlocal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dlocal Stock performance.

About Dlocal Performance

By examining Dlocal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Dlocal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Dlocal is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.17 
Return On Capital Employed 0.33  0.50 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.15 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.44 

Things to note about Dlocal performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dlocal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dlocal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dlocal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dlocal has about 425.17 M in cash with (32.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.54.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is DLocals BNPL and Stablecoin Push Reinforcing Its CrossBorder Moat or Stretching It
Evaluating Dlocal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dlocal's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Dlocal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dlocal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dlocal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dlocal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dlocal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dlocal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dlocal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dlocal's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dlocal's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Dlocal offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Dlocal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dlocal Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dlocal Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Dlocal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Dlocal Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dlocal guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Will Transaction & Payment Processing Services sector continue expanding? Could Dlocal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dlocal. Projected growth potential of Dlocal fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Dlocal data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.889
Earnings Share
0.56
Revenue Per Share
3.327
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.521
Return On Assets
0.0966
The market value of Dlocal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dlocal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dlocal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dlocal's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Dlocal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dlocal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Dlocal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dlocal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Dlocal's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.