Dollar Tree (Mexico) Performance

DLTR Stock  MXN 2,158  222.00  9.33%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Dollar Tree holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dollar Tree's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dollar Tree is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Dollar Tree's variance, jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Dollar Tree's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dollar Tree are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Dollar Tree showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1 B
  

Dollar Tree Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  184,299  in Dollar Tree on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  31,501  from holding Dollar Tree or generate 17.09% return on investment over 90 days. Dollar Tree is generating 0.2931% of daily returns and assumes 2.4792% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Dollar, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dollar Tree is expected to generate 3.32 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of risk.

Dollar Tree Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dollar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2,158 90 days 2,158 
about 59.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dollar Tree to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 59.59 (This Dollar Tree probability density function shows the probability of Dollar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dollar Tree has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dollar Tree average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dollar Tree will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dollar Tree has an alpha of 0.2393, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dollar Tree Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dollar Tree

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dollar Tree. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,1562,1582,160
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9422,5192,521
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,9831,9851,988
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.002,2694,489
Details

Dollar Tree Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dollar Tree is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dollar Tree's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dollar Tree, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dollar Tree within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
193.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Dollar Tree Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dollar Tree for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dollar Tree can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Dollar Tree Fundamentals Growth

Dollar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dollar Tree, and Dollar Tree fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dollar Stock performance.

About Dollar Tree Performance

Evaluating Dollar Tree's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Dollar Tree has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dollar Tree has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
It operates through two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia. DOLLAR TREE operates under Discount Stores classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 60217 people.

Things to note about Dollar Tree performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dollar Tree for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dollar Tree help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Dollar Tree's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dollar Tree's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Dollar Tree's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dollar Tree's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dollar Tree's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dollar Tree's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dollar Tree's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dollar Tree's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dollar Tree's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dollar Tree's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dollar Tree's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis

When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.