Durect Performance

DRRXDelisted Stock  USD 1.91  0.02  1.04%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -6.96, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Durect are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Durect is expected to outperform it. Durect right now shows a risk of 0.0%. Please confirm Durect value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Durect will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Durect has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Durect is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow28.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities18 M
  

Durect Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  191.00  in Durect on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Durect or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Durect is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of stocks are less volatile than Durect, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

Durect Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Durect Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.91 90 days 1.91 
about 14.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Durect to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.08 (This Durect probability density function shows the probability of Durect Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Durect has a beta of -6.96 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Durect are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Durect is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Durect has an alpha of 4.2518, implying that it can generate a 4.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Durect Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Durect

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Durect. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.911.911.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.341.342.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.252.252.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.591.932.26
Details

Durect Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Durect is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Durect's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Durect, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Durect within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-6.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Durect Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Durect for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Durect can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Durect is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Durect may become a speculative penny stock
Durect has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.16 M.
Durect currently holds about 51.89 M in cash with (19.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Durect Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Durect Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Durect's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Durect's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.8 M

Durect Fundamentals Growth

Durect Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Durect, and Durect fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Durect Stock performance.

About Durect Performance

Evaluating Durect's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Durect has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Durect has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
DURECT Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, researches and develops medicines based on its epigenetic regulator and pharmaceutical programs. DURECT Corporation was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California. Durect Corp operates under Drug ManufacturersSpecialty Generic classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 79 people.

Things to note about Durect performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Durect for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Durect help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Durect is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Durect may become a speculative penny stock
Durect has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.16 M.
Durect currently holds about 51.89 M in cash with (19.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Durect's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Durect's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Durect's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Durect's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Durect's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Durect's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Durect's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Durect's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Durect's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Durect's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Durect's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in Durect Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Durect check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Durect's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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