Durect Valuation

DRRX Stock  USD 0.97  0.04  3.96%   
Today, the firm appears to be undervalued. Durect shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.19 per share. The current price of the firm is $0.97. Our model computes the value of Durect from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 34.72 M, profit margin of (1.88) %, and Shares Outstanding of 31.04 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Durect's valuation include:
Price Book
25.762
Enterprise Value
34.7 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(2.48)
Price Sales
3.7275
Enterprise Value Revenue
4.0396
Undervalued
Today
0.97
Please note that Durect's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Durect is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Durect's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Durect is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Durect Stock. However, Durect's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.97 Real  8.19 Target  29.8 Hype  1.01 Naive  0.91
The intrinsic value of Durect's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Durect's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.19
Real Value
13.04
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Durect helps investors to forecast how Durect stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Durect more accurately as focusing exclusively on Durect's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.17-0.16-0.15
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.015.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.020.915.76
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.1229.8033.08
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Durect's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Durect's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Durect's closest peers.

Durect Cash

25.96 Million

Durect Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Durect's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Durect over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Durect Total Value Analysis

Durect is currently projected to have valuation of 34.72 M with market capitalization of 31.35 M, debt of 20.75 M, and cash on hands of 51.89 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Durect fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
34.72 M
31.35 M
20.75 M
51.89 M

Durect Investor Information

About 23.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.64. Durect had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 6th of December 2022. Based on the key indicators related to Durect's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Durect is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Durect Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Durect has an asset utilization ratio of 18.92 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.19 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Durect is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Durect Ownership Allocation

Durect holds a total of 31.04 Million outstanding shares. Durect shows 5.7 percent of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 23.0 percent owned by other corporate entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Durect Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.48 M.

About Durect Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Durect. We calculate exposure to Durect's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Durect's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit6.8 M6.5 M
Pretax Profit Margin(3.23)(3.07)
Operating Profit Margin(4.31)(4.53)
Net Loss(3.23)(3.39)
Gross Profit Margin 0.80  1.02 

Durect Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.5 M

Durect Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Durect and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Durect we look at many different elements of the entity such as Durect's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Durect, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Durect's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Durect's worth.

Additional Tools for Durect Stock Analysis

When running Durect's price analysis, check to measure Durect's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Durect is operating at the current time. Most of Durect's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Durect's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Durect's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Durect to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.