Evolution Gaming (Germany) Performance

E3G Stock  EUR 47.20  1.40  2.88%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Evolution Gaming's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Evolution Gaming is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Evolution Gaming has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm Evolution Gaming's information ratio, total risk alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Evolution Gaming performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Evolution Gaming Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0559
Payout Ratio
0.5301
Last Split Factor
5:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.76
Ex Dividend Date
2025-05-15
1
Evolution AB High-Yield Online Casino Provider At A Discount - Seeking Alpha
02/10/2026
  

Evolution Gaming Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,600  in Evolution Gaming Group on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (740.00) from holding Evolution Gaming Group or give up 13.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Evolution Gaming Group is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.1338% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 19% of traded stocks are less volatile than Evolution, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Evolution Gaming is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of volatility.

Evolution Gaming Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Evolution Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 47.20 90 days 47.20 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Evolution Gaming to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Evolution Gaming Group probability density function shows the probability of Evolution Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Evolution Gaming has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Evolution Gaming average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Evolution Gaming Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Evolution Gaming Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Evolution Gaming Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Evolution Gaming

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evolution Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.5848.7150.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.2439.3753.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.8248.9651.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.4350.7680.09
Details

Evolution Gaming Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Evolution Gaming is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Evolution Gaming's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Evolution Gaming Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Evolution Gaming within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Evolution Gaming Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Evolution Gaming for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Evolution Gaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evolution Gaming generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evolution Gaming is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Evolution AB High-Yield Online Casino Provider At A Discount - Seeking Alpha

Evolution Gaming Fundamentals Growth

Evolution Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Evolution Gaming, and Evolution Gaming fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Evolution Stock performance.

About Evolution Gaming Performance

By analyzing Evolution Gaming's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Evolution Gaming's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Evolution Gaming has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Evolution Gaming has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Evolution Gaming Group AB develops, produces, markets, and licenses live casino solutions to sportsbook operators, online gaming operators, and land-based casinos in Europe and Canada. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Evolution Gaming is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

Things to note about Evolution Gaming performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Evolution Gaming for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Evolution Gaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evolution Gaming generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evolution Gaming is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Evolution AB High-Yield Online Casino Provider At A Discount - Seeking Alpha
Evaluating Evolution Gaming's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Evolution Gaming's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Evolution Gaming's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Evolution Gaming's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Evolution Gaming's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Evolution Gaming's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Evolution Gaming's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Evolution Gaming's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Evolution Gaming's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Evolution Gaming's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Evolution Gaming's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Evolution Stock analysis

When running Evolution Gaming's price analysis, check to measure Evolution Gaming's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evolution Gaming is operating at the current time. Most of Evolution Gaming's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evolution Gaming's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evolution Gaming's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evolution Gaming to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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