Eldorado Gold Corp Stock Performance

EGO Stock

USD 31.66 2.33 7.94%

Eldorado Gold's period returns and the standard risk-adjusted performance ratios are summarized. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is -0.25%, with a 1.02% dividend yield adding to total return.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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0 · Weak

Eldorado Gold Corp has underperformed across the last 90 days, with volatility outpacing return. The company operates within the Basic Materials sector and the Gold industry. Over the measured horizon, Eldorado Gold has produced deeply negative returns relative to the volatility absorbed. Learn More

Eldorado Gold dividend paid on 13th of March 2026

03/13/2026

Check Eldorado Gold Sensitivity to Hype

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,896 in Eldorado Gold Corp on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 730.50 , a decline of 18.75% over 90 days. Eldorado Gold Corp is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.9% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Eldorado Gold exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 65% of comparable stocks, and EGO delivers lower expected returns than 99% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.

Expected Return

Risk

This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Over a 90-day investment horizon, EGO has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, EGO is 4.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.06%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in Eldorado Gold Stock pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds moving above the current price in 90 days
31.66	90 days	31.66	about 85.09 %

Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Eldorado Gold moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.09 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Eldorado Gold Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Eldorado Gold Stock over this horizon.

Over a 90-day investment horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 suggesting when the benchmark rises, EGO tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Eldorado Gold tends to underperform. Additionally, Eldorado Gold Corp has a negative alpha, implying that risk has not been adequately compensated by returns. EGO is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.

Eldorado Gold Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for Eldorado Gold

Forecasting Eldorado Gold Corp requires combining quantitative signals with evolving sentiment and fundamental trends. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Eldorado Gold Corp.

Mean reversion is the tendency of Eldorado Gold's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Eldorado Gold's price extremes to fundamental value.

Sentiment

Range

Low	Sentiment	High
27.64	31.54	35.44

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Intrinsic	High
26.46	30.36	34.26

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
26.83	30.73	34.63

Details

Bollinger

Band Projection (param)

Lower	Middle Band	Upper
28.05	32.95	37.85

Details

Eldorado Gold is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Eldorado Gold leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting Eldorado Gold. Eldorado Gold has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.

α	Alpha over Dow Jones	-0.3187	Details
β	Beta against Dow Jones	1.67	Details
σ	Overall volatility	5.45	Details
Ir	Information ratio	-0.0814	Details

Investor Alerts and Insights

Targeted alerts for Eldorado Gold provide the responsiveness needed to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Eldorado Gold Corp help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.

	Eldorado Gold Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	Eldorado Gold Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
	On 13th of March 2026 Eldorado Gold paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: IAMGOLD Q 1 2026 Earnings Preview

Price Density Drivers

Price movements in Eldorado Gold are influenced by the balance of buyer and seller positioning dynamics. Monitoring key indicators provides context for understanding when price movements are fundamental versus tactical.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	205.41 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	867.77 million

Eldorado Gold Fundamentals Growth

The market price of Eldorado Gold Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for Eldorado Gold's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in Eldorado Gold Stock pricing.

	Current Valuation	8.11 B
	Shares Outstanding	260.54 M
	Earnings Per Share	2.86 X

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Benchmark comparison for Eldorado Gold clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Outperformance relative to the benchmark may reflect exposure tilt, selection effect, or timing. Eldorado Gold shows ROE of 14.04%, ROA of 8.82% (TTM).

Eldorado Gold Corp inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board