Emcor Group Stock Performance

EME Stock  USD 716.28  9.41  1.33%   
The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.65, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, EMCOR will likely underperform. At this point, EMCOR Group has a negative expected return of -0.0859%. Please make sure to confirm EMCOR's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if EMCOR Group performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days EMCOR Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound primary indicators, EMCOR is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.82
Five Day Return
(1.89)
Year To Date Return
10.68
Ten Year Return
1.5 K
All Time Return
52.7 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0023
Payout Ratio
0.0462
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Dividend Date
2026-01-30
 
EMCOR dividend paid on 30th of October 2025
10/30/2025
1
Initial Drilling at Coyote Basin Shows Radioactivity Correlating to Historical Drilling
12/15/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by Lind Robert Peter of EMCOR at 625.09 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
3
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12/26/2025
4
Dycom Trades at a Premium Should Investors Buy the Stock or Wait
01/07/2026
5
Investors Heavily Search EMCOR Group, Inc. Here is What You Need to Know
01/12/2026
6
New York State Teachers Retirement System Has 33.16 Million Stock Holdings in EMCOR Group, Inc. EME
01/13/2026
7
Is Emcor Group a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic
01/14/2026
8
Impact Capital Partners LLC Lowers Position in EMCOR Group, Inc. EME
01/15/2026
9
2 SP 500 Stocks to Target This Week and 1 We Question
01/16/2026
10
Everest Metals Advances Mining Development Activity Within All Ordinaries Market Structure
01/21/2026
11
Emcor Group Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick What Investors Need to Know
01/23/2026
12
Stifel Adjusts Price Target on EMCOR Group to 754 From 713, Maintains Buy Rating - marketscreener.com
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow789.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-299.3 M

EMCOR Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  77,654  in EMCOR Group on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (6,026) from holding EMCOR Group or give up 7.76% of portfolio value over 90 days. EMCOR Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.9807% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than EMCOR, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon EMCOR is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

EMCOR Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of EMCOR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 716.28 90 days 716.28 
nearly 4.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EMCOR to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.9 (This EMCOR Group probability density function shows the probability of EMCOR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, EMCOR will likely underperform. Additionally EMCOR Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EMCOR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EMCOR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EMCOR Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
704.92707.90710.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
636.18725.82728.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
716.15719.12722.10
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
690.24758.50841.94
Details

EMCOR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EMCOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EMCOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EMCOR Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EMCOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.65
σ
Overall volatility
41.92
Ir
Information ratio 0

EMCOR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EMCOR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EMCOR Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMCOR Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stifel Adjusts Price Target on EMCOR Group to 754 From 713, Maintains Buy Rating - marketscreener.com

EMCOR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EMCOR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EMCOR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EMCOR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

EMCOR Fundamentals Growth

EMCOR Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of EMCOR, and EMCOR fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on EMCOR Stock performance.

About EMCOR Performance

By analyzing EMCOR's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into EMCOR's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if EMCOR has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if EMCOR has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.66  1.78 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.34  0.36 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Equity 0.39  0.26 

Things to note about EMCOR Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about EMCOR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for EMCOR Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EMCOR Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stifel Adjusts Price Target on EMCOR Group to 754 From 713, Maintains Buy Rating - marketscreener.com
Evaluating EMCOR's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate EMCOR's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing EMCOR's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether EMCOR's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining EMCOR's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating EMCOR's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of EMCOR's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of EMCOR's stock. These opinions can provide insight into EMCOR's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating EMCOR's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact EMCOR's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running EMCOR's price analysis, check to measure EMCOR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EMCOR is operating at the current time. Most of EMCOR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EMCOR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EMCOR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EMCOR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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