Emcor Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EME Stock  USD 476.90  7.65  1.58%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding EMCOR Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides EMCOR buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EMCOR positions.
  
Check out EMCOR Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as EMCOR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. EMCOR Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute EMCOR Buy or Sell Advice

The EMCOR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on EMCOR Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in EMCOR Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute EMCOR's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell EMCORBuy EMCOR
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon EMCOR Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1338, Jensen Alpha of 0.2241, Total Risk Alpha of 0.122, Sortino Ratio of 0.1229 and Treynor Ratio of 0.268
Macroaxis provides trade advice on EMCOR Group to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on EMCOR. Our advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure EMCOR Group is not overpriced, please confirm all EMCOR Group fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that EMCOR Group has a price to earning of 59.08 X, we urge you to verify EMCOR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

EMCOR Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of October 2024 EMCOR paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: EMCOR Group, Inc. is Attracting Investor Attention Here is What You Should Know

EMCOR Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of EMCOR's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of EMCOR's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of EMCOR daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use EMCOR Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of EMCOR returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for EMCOR.
Mean Return
0.32
Value At Risk
-2.67
Potential Upside
3.09
Standard Deviation
1.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of EMCOR historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

EMCOR Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
539.4 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-09-30
489.4 K
Burgundy Asset Management Ltd2024-09-30
474.7 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
455 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
448.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
433.9 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
431.3 K
Man Group Plc2024-09-30
403.6 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-09-30
367.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
5.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
4.8 M
Note, although EMCOR's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

EMCOR Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory4.3M(12.7M)(116K)(31.5M)(23.4M)(22.3M)
Change In Cash(6.3M)543.6M(81.0M)(365.5M)332.7M349.3M
Free Cash Flow307.3M758.4M282.6M448.6M821.3M862.3M
Depreciation92.1M106.7M112.4M108.6M119.0M124.9M
Other Non Cash Items4.3M237.3M10.4M(302K)8.8M8.3M
Capital Expenditures48.4M48.0M36.2M49.3M78.4M82.3M
Net Income325.1M132.9M383.7M406.1M633.0M664.6M
End Period Cash Flow359.9M903.6M822.6M457.1M789.8M829.2M
Dividends Paid18.0M17.7M28.2M27.2M(32.7M)(31.0M)
Investments(1.4M)(94.9M)(1.4M)(140.8M)(151.9M)(144.3M)
Change Receivables(136.0M)139.4M(246.9M)(340.1M)(306.1M)(290.8M)
Net Borrowings(16.7M)5.2M(41.5M)(13.9M)(12.5M)(11.9M)
Change To Netincome4.4M199.5M18.0M9.3M8.3M7.9M

EMCOR Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to EMCOR or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that EMCOR's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a EMCOR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

EMCOR Volatility Alert

EMCOR Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.37 and kurtosis of 2.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure EMCOR's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact EMCOR's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

EMCOR Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing EMCOR's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze EMCOR's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between EMCOR and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as EMCOR or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of EMCOR's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EMCOR by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare EMCOR to competition
FundamentalsEMCORPeer Average
Return On Equity0.37-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation21.36 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding46 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.39 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted431.39 K4.71 M
Price To Earning59.08 X28.72 X
Price To Book7.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.57 X11.42 X
Revenue12.58 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.6 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.01 B3.9 B
Net Income632.99 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents456.44 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt339.97 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.28 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share59.96 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations899.65 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.89 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share19.65 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.32 X4.89 X
Target Price540.0
Number Of Employees38.3 K18.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization22.29 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.61 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.81 B9.33 B
Working Capital928.62 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Ronald Johnson of 480 shares of EMCOR subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

EMCOR Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as EMCOR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About EMCOR Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell EMCOR Group? Buying financial instruments such as EMCOR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having EMCOR in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Sports Theme
Companies in sporting activities arena as well as manufacturers of sporting goods and sport retailers. The Sports theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sports Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether EMCOR Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze EMCOR's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact EMCOR's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding EMCOR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out EMCOR Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EMCOR. If investors know EMCOR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EMCOR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.625
Dividend Share
0.93
Earnings Share
19.65
Revenue Per Share
303.552
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.153
The market value of EMCOR Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EMCOR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EMCOR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EMCOR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EMCOR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EMCOR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EMCOR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EMCOR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EMCOR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.