Export Development (Egypt) Performance

EXPA Stock   16.00  0.16  1.01%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Export Development's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Export Development is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Export Development Bank has a negative expected return of -0.0391%. Please make sure to confirm Export Development's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Export Development Bank performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Export Development Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Export Development is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
  

Export Development Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,650  in Export Development Bank on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (50.00) from holding Export Development Bank or give up 3.03% of portfolio value over 90 days. Export Development Bank is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.1412% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Export, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Export Development is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Export Development Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Export Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.00 90 days 16.00 
about 34.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Export Development to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.7 (This Export Development Bank probability density function shows the probability of Export Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Export Development has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Export Development average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Export Development Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Export Development Bank has an alpha of 0.0444, implying that it can generate a 0.0444 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Export Development Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Export Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Export Development Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Export Development Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Export Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Export Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Export Development Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Export Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Export Development Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Export Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Export Development Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Export Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Things to note about Export Development Bank performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Export Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Export Development Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Export Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Export Development's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Export Development's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Export Development's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Export Development's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Export Development's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Export Development's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Export Development's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Export Development's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Export Development's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Export Development's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Export Development's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Export Stock analysis

When running Export Development's price analysis, check to measure Export Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Export Development is operating at the current time. Most of Export Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Export Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Export Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Export Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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