First Trust China Etf Performance

FCA Etf  USD 31.70  0.40  1.25%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust China are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady fundamental indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
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First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Up 251.8 percent in December
01/13/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,942  in First Trust China on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  228.00  from holding First Trust China or generate 7.75% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust China is generating 0.1332% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.333% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 11% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.74 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.74 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust China extending back to April 21, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 31.70, as last reported on the 6th of February, with the highest price reaching 31.80 and the lowest price hitting 31.40 during the day.
3 y Volatility
19.84
200 Day MA
26.8327
1 y Volatility
13.73
50 Day MA
29.7786
Inception Date
2011-04-18
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 31.70 90 days 31.70 
about 7.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.05 (This First Trust China probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.39. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust China will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust China has an alpha of 0.1452, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.3531.6833.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.0631.3932.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.0031.3332.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7629.8232.88
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Up 251.8 percent in December
The fund retains 98.14% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By analyzing First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks, depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts and preferred shares that comprise the index. China Alphadex is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Up 251.8 percent in December
The fund retains 98.14% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether First Trust China offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Trust's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Trust China Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Trust China Etf:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust China. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Understanding First Trust China requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what First Trust's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Trust's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Trust's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.