First Trust China Etf Technical Analysis
| FCA Etf | USD 32.29 0.61 1.93% |
As of the 28th of January, First Trust shows the Mean Deviation of 0.9286, coefficient of variation of 587.88, and Downside Deviation of 1.27. First Trust China technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the entity's future prices.
First Trust Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Trust's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.The market value of First Trust China is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 01/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust China or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 90 days. First Trust is related to or competes with First Trust, First Trust, First Trust, Invesco SP, OneAscent Emerging, First Trust, and Matthews International. The fund will normally invest at least 90 percent of its net assets in the common stocks, depositary receipts, real esta... More
First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust China upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1057 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.93 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1292 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1694 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0835 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1022 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.465 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1292 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.475 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9286 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.993 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 587.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1057 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1694 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0835 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1022 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.465 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9861 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.96) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1987 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9851 |
First Trust China Backtested Returns
First Trust appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Trust China secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which denotes the etf had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Trust China, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize First Trust's Coefficient Of Variation of 587.88, mean deviation of 0.9286, and Downside Deviation of 1.27 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.43, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
First Trust China has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust China price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.73 |
First Trust technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Trust China Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for First Trust China across different markets.
About First Trust Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Trust China on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Trust China based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this etf, focuses on First Trust China price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Trust China. By analyzing First Trust's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Trust's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Trust specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Trust January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1292 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.475 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9286 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.993 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 587.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1057 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1694 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0835 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1022 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.465 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.92) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9861 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.96) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1987 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9851 |
First Trust China One Year Return
Based on the recorded statements, First Trust China has an One Year Return of 64%. This is much higher than that of the First Trust family and significantly higher than that of the China Region category. The one year return for all United States etfs is notably lower than that of the firm.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.First Trust January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 700.38 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.81 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 32.05 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 32.13 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.55 |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust China. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
The market value of First Trust China is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.